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Realized Return for the S&P 500, Microsoft, and Treasury Bills, 2002-2014 S&P 500 Index Dividends Paid S&P 500 Realized Retur

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Answer #1

The following answer deals with Parts a through d in the question:

The following Data Can be calculated using the Microsoft Excel or calculator;

Year End Index Dividends paid S&P 500 Realized returns Capital Gains Without Dividends Dividend Yield
2001 1148.08
2002 879.82 14.53 -22.10% -23.37% 1.65%
2003 1111.92 20.8 28.74% 26.38% 1.87%
2004 1211.92 20.98 10.88% 8.99% 1.73%
2005 1248.29 23.15 4.91% 3.00% 1.85%
2006 1418.3 27.16 15.80% 13.62% 1.91%
2007 1468.36 27.86 5.49% 3.53% 1.90%
2008 903.25 21.85 -37.00% -38.49% 2.42%
2009 1115.1 27.19 26.46% 23.45% 2.44%
2010 1257.64 25.44 15.06% 12.78% 2.02%
2011 1257.6 26.59 2.11% 0.00% 2.11%
2012 1426.19 32.67 16.00% 13.41% 2.29%
2013 1848.36 39.75 32.39% 29.60% 2.15%
2014 2058.9 42.47 13.69% 11.39% 2.06%
Average 6.48% 2.03%
Standard Deviation 19.07% 0.25%

Answer 1. Dividend Yield = Dividend Paid/Current Stock Price

Average Dividend yield from Year 2002-2014 = 2.03%

Answer 2. The Volatility of the Dividend Yield is given by the standard deviation of the Dividend Yield from years 2002 to 2014.

Here we use the sample standard deviation where the denominator is taken as Square root of (n-1) instead of Square root of n in Standard Deviation formula.

Volatility for Dividend Yield = 0.25%

Answer 3. The average annual return on S&P Index is calculated using the following Capital returns formula:

Capital Gain % = (Current Stock Price - Previous Period Stock price)/Previous Period Stock Price

From the table above the Average Capital gain is calculated as = 6.48%

Answer 4. Volatility of S&P 500 returns considering only capital gains:

Here we use the sample standard deviation where the denominator is taken as Square root of (n-1) instead of Square root of n in Standard Deviation formula.

From the table above, Volatility for S&P 500 Capital Gains = 19.07%

Note: 1. The final part E should be answerable based on comparison of volatility of Dividend Yield versus S&P 500 Returns from Capital gains only.

2. For calculating Average in Excel, use formula AVERAGE(<Range>) where <Range> is the array of cells passed as arguments.

3. For calculating Standard Deviation in Excel, use formula STDDEV.S(<Range>) , where <Range> is the array of cells passed as arguments.

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