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2. Consider an ARMA(1,1) process, X4 = 0.5X:-1 +0+ - 0.25a4-1, where az is white noise...
2. (a) Consider the following process: where {Z) is a white noise process with unit variance. [1 mark] ii. Find the infinite moving average representation of X,i.e., find the scquence [6 marks] i. Explain why the process is stationary. (6) such that Xt = Σ b,2-j. iii. Calculate the mean and the autocovariance "Yo, γι and 72 of the process. 7 marks iv. Given 40 = 0.1 and Xo = 1.8, find the 2-step ahead forecast of the time series...
4. Consider the ARMA (2, 3) process, I( 0.1%-1 +0.12%-2 + Ze + 0.3Zn-1-0.045-2-0.012Zt-3, where fZ) is a white noise process with unit variance. It is known that the above process is overestimated [4 marks (b) Hence, determine the stationarity and invertibility of the process. [4 marks (c) Find the first three lags of the autocorrelation function (ACF) for the process. [12 marks) (5 marks] (a) Suggest a parsimonious model for the above process. (d) Find the first three lags...
4. Calculate the variance of the time series rt (i.e. Var(rt)) for the following ARMA(1,1) model: where the variance of the white noise series is 0.09. 4. Calculate the variance of the time series rt (i.e. Var(rt)) for the following ARMA(1,1) model: where the variance of the white noise series is 0.09.
Consider the following AR(2) model: Xt – Xt–1 + + X4-2 = Zt, Z4 ~ WN(0,1). (a) Show that X+ is causal. (b) Find the first four coefficients (VO, ..., 43) of the MA(0) representation of Xt. (c) Find the pacf at lag 3, 233, of the AR(2) model.
QUESTION 3 (a) Consider the ARMA (1, 1) process -Bat-1-where o and θ are model parame- are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean 0 z, oz,-1 ters, and a1, a2, and variance σ (i) Show that the variance of the process is γ,- (ii) Using (i) or otherwise, show that the autocorrelation function (ACF) of the process is: ifk=0. (b) Let Y be an AR(2) process of the special form Y-2Y-2e (i) Find the range of values of...
QUESTION4 (a) Let e be a zero-mean, unit-variance white noise process. Consider a process that begins at time t = 0 and is defined recursively as follows. Let Y0 = ceo and Y1-CgY0-ei. Then let Y,-φ1Yt-it wt-1-et for t > ï as in an AR(2) process. Show that the process mean, E(Y.), is zero. (b) Suppose that (a is generated according to }.-10 e,-tet-+扣-1 with e,-N(0.) 0 Find the mean and covariance functions for (Y). Is (Y) stationary? Justify your...
2. Let (et) be a zero mean white noise process with variance 1. Suppose that the observed process is h ft + Xt where β is an unknown constant, and Xt-et- Explain why {X.) is stationary. Find its mean function μχ and autocorrelation function p for lk0,1,.. a. b. Show that {Yt3 is not stationary. C. Explain why w. = ▽h = h-K-1 is stationary. d. Calculate Var(Yt) Vt and Var(W) Vt . (Recall: Var(X+c)-Var(X) when c is a constant.)...
Question 2 (a) The following table gives the sample autocorrelation coefficients and partial autocorrelation coefficients for a time series with 100 observations. 4 ,-0.55 -0.17 0.09 0.0.00.010.040.07 -0.55 | -0.4 0.29 | -0.22 -0.11- -0.13 -0.14 0,05 Suppose the sample mean of the time series is zero. Based on the above information, suggest an ARMA model for the data. Briefly explain your answer. (5 marks) (b) Let X, be a time series satisfying the following AR(2)model: X, = 0.3X,-1 +0.04X,-2...
Consider the process Y.-μ + et-o, et-1-912 et-12, where {ed denotes a white-noise process with mean 0 and variance σ? > 0. Assume that et ls independent of Yt-1, Yt-2, Find the autocorrelation function for (Yt).
Question 2 (a) The following table gives the sample autocorrelation coefficients and partial autocorrelation coefficients for a time series with 100 observations. 4 ,-0.55 -0.17 0.09 0.0.00.010.040.07 -0.55 | -0.4 0.29 | -0.22 -0.11- -0.13 -0.14 0,05 Suppose the sample mean of the time series is zero. Based on the above information, suggest an ARMA model for the data. Briefly explain your answer. (5 marks) (b) Let X, be a time series satisfying the following AR(2)model: X, = 0.3X,-1 +0.04X,-2...