Item | 2010 | 2011 | ||
Quantity (lbs) | Price ($/lbs) | Quantity (lbs) | Price ($/lbs) | |
Fruits | 200 | 2 | 220 | 2 |
Nuts | 200 | 2 | 150 | 3 |
Given that, 2010 is considered as the base year for calculating CPI and typical consumer basket
Price of the basket of goods in 2010 = Quantity of fruits in 2010 x Price of fruits in 2010 + Quantity of nuts in 2010 x Price of nuts in 2010 = 200 x $2 + 200 x $2 = $400 + $400 = $800
Price of the basket of goods in 2011 = Quantity of fruits in 2010 x Price of fruits in 2011 + Quantity of nuts in 2010 x Price of nuts in 2011 = 200 x $2 + 200 x $3 = $400 + $600 = $1000
a. CPI in 2010 = 100 (Since it is the base year)
CPI in 2011 = Price of the basket of goods in 20111/Price of the basket of goods in the base year(2010) x 100 = ($1000/$800) x 100 = 1.25 x 100 = 125
b. Rate of inflation in 2011 = [(CPI in 2011 - CPI in 2010)/CPI in 2010] x 100 = [(125-100)/100] x 100 = [25/100] x 100 = 25%
c. The inflation measured in the year 2011 would not understate the value of inflation. In fact, it is overstating inflation. This is because the quantity of nuts in the consumer basket is 200 lbs which is more than the actual consumption of 150 lbs in the year 2011. Another measure of inflation can be obtained by using GDP deflator which takes into account all the goods in the amounts produced in the year and compares it at constant dollars with the previous year
GDP deflator = Nominal GDP/Real GDP x 100
Nominal GDP in 2011= Quantity of fruits in 2011 x Price of fruits in 2011 + Quantity of nuts in 2011 x Price of nuts in 2011 = 220 x $2 + 150 x $3 = $440 + $450 = $890
Real GDP in 2011 = Quantity of fruits in 2011 x Price of fruits in 2010 + Quantity of nuts in 2011 x Price of nuts in 2010 = 220 x $2 + 150 x $2 = $440 + $300 = $740
GDP Deflator for 2011 = $890/$740 x 100 = 120.27%
GDP Deflator for 2010 = 100 (base year)
Inflation rate calculated using GDP deflator = (GDP deflator in 2011 - GDP deflator in 2010)/GDP deflator in 2010 x 100 = (120.27 - 100)/100 x 100 = 20.27% (which is less than the inflationn rate calculated using CPI)
Inflation rate calculated from GDP deflator shows that the inflation calculated using CPI is overstated.
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