a)
Underbooking cost, Cu = $ 145
Overbooking cost, Co = $ 205
Critical ratio = Cu/(Cu+Co)
= 145/(145+205)
= 0.4143
Cumulative probability distribution
# of no shows | Probability | Cumulative probability |
0 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
1 | 0.07 | 0.14 |
2 | 0.1 | 0.24 |
3 | 0.02 | 0.26 |
4 | 0.12 | 0.38 |
5 | 0.01 | 0.39 |
6 | 0.04 | 0.43 |
7 | 0.19 | 0.62 |
8 | 0.16 | 0.78 |
9 | 0.22 | 1 |
In the above table, look for cumulative probability just greater than 0.4143
That value of cumulative probability is 0.43 and corresponding # of no shows is 6
Therefore, Recommendation overbooking is: 6
----------------------------------------------------
b)
Loss occurs when # of no shows is greater than overbooking, i.e. for 7, 8, 9 no shows
Expected # of no shows greater than overbooking = (7-6)*0.19+(8-6)*0.16+(9-6)*0.22
= 1.17
Expected loss = 1.17*Cu
= 1.17*145
= $ 169.65
help please ? Searc 1 # of No- Probability of No- Shows Shows occurring (d) P(d)...
1 # of No-Probability of No- Shows Shows occurring (d) P(d) 0 0.07 0.07 2 0.10 3 0.02 4 0.12 5 0.01 6 0.04 7 0.19 8 0.16 9 0.22 a) What would be your recommendation for overbooking if the average rate per room per night is $145 and the cost of not honoring a reservation is $205? b) What is the expected loss for your overbooking choice?
The Baruch Star Hotel in Miami, FL is considering doing overbooking in order to deal with the constant problem they have with no-shows. The table given below presents the number of no-shows and the probability of each occurring. # of No- Probability of No- Shows Shows occurring (d) P(d) 0 0.07 0.07 2 0.10 3 0.02 4 0.12 5 0.01 0.04 0.19 8 0.16 9 0.22 6 a) What would be your recommendation for overbooking if the average rate per...
The Baruch Star Hotel in Miami, FL is considering doing overbooking in order to deal with the constant problem they have with no-shows. The table given below presents the number of no-shows and the probability of each occurring. # of No-Probability of No- Shows Shows occurring (d) Pd) 0 0.07 0.07 2 0.10 3 0.02 4 0.12 5 0.01 6 0.04 7 0.19 8 0.16 9 0.22 a) What would be your recommendation for overbooking if the average rate per...
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