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An investor is considering a $10,000 investment in a start-up company. She estimates that she has...

An investor is considering a $10,000 investment in a start-up company. She estimates that she has probability 0.39 of a $22,200 loss, probability 0.23 of a $14,900 profit, probability 0.14 of a $52,000 profit, and probability 0.24 of breaking even (a profit of $0). What is the expected value of the profit? Would you advise the investor to make the investment?

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Answer #1

expected value of the profit=Respective return*Respective probability

=(0.39*-22,200)+(0.23*14900)+(0.14*52000)+(0.24*0)

=$2049

Hence since expected value of profit is less than $10,000;advisor should not make the investment

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