REPORT TO WOODS BROTHERS
Feasibility of Operations
If Fence Company Ltd. is to succeed in business, then its fencing operations must be profitable. The snow removal activities are secondary, so I have not tried to quantify the revenue that may result from them. Instead, I have assumed that the revenue from snow removal will cover variable expenses only. Fixed costs, however, have been computed on the basis of a full year of expenses.
I have used contribution-margin analysis to calculate your break-even point and
have compared that to your capacity to see whether you currently have the resources you need to cover all of your costs.
The contribution approach separates costs into their fixed and variable components. Fixed costs are costs that do not change, regardless of how much business the company is doing. Variable costs, on the other hand, change in direct proportion to changes in levels of activity (how much business the company is doing). The difference between sales and variable costs is called the contribution margin. It is the amount available to recover fixed costs. Contribution margin is a useful tool for planning and tells you how income is affected when selling prices are changed, when different levels of output are produced, and when changes in costs are made. To use it, however, assumptions have to be made regarding different selling prices, levels of output, and so on.
Exhibit 1 shows my analysis of your contribution margin on the various orders you receive (i.e., one-house, two-house, and four-house orders). My assumptions are stated in the exhibit. As you can see, the biggest contribution, $1.66 per linear metre, is achieved on the two-house orders.
Exhibit 2 shows my calculation of your fixed costs. Please study my assumptions in this exhibit to ensure that you agree with them. Based on my assumptions, you have total fixed costs of approximately $100,000.
Using these figures, we can calculate your break-even point. Break-even is the point at which the company covers all its expenses, so there is neither profit nor loss. One problem in using break-even analysis is that an assumption has to be made about the sales mix among the different orders. I have assumed that the two-house order is most typical of your sales. As the two-house order contributes the biggest margin, the break-even in metres calculated below is the least you should sell to achieve a break-even position. If you want me to, I can re-calculate the break-even metres using different assumptions.
$102,000 = 61,446 linear metres
$1.66
Based on my assumptions, the amount of fencing that must be installed to break even is 61,446 linear metres. This is more than your anticipated production of 50,000 linear metres.
Using the information you have given me, I have calculated the maximum number of metres that you can install. My assumptions, along with calculations, are shown in Exhibit 3. The maximum footage that can be installed in 2010 is 36,000 linear metres. This is less than your anticipated level of 50,000 linear metres. Incremental /fixed costs to increase capacity to 50,000 linear metres were estimated to be $19,500 (Exhibit 5). Assuming that all sales are two-house jobs (i.e., the maximum contribution), the contribution to fixed costs will be
50,000 x $1.66 = $83,000
This will result in a loss of
Contribution to fixed costs |
$83,000 |
less fixed costs |
102,000 |
Net loss |
($19,000) |
In conclusion, my analysis shows that Fence Company Ltd. will face a severe shortage of cash in the fall and may even face bankruptcy. Clearly, the operation is not feasible based upon the proposed pricing policy and the projected costs and level of output.
Ways to Improve Operations
Fence Company Ltd. can increase the contribution to fixed costs in several ways. It can increase prices, decrease its variable costs, decrease commissions and/or volume discounts, or increase its level of output. If fixed costs can be reduced, then the break-even point may also be reduced.
Increase prices
The contribution-margin analysis reveals that Fence Company Ltd. has a serious pricing problem. FC achieves its greatest contribution margin on sales of two-house installations. The savings from doing four-house instead of only one (economies of scale) do not appear to justify a volume discount or higher commissions. However, the cost figures do not accurately capture the economies of scale that may be present on volume orders, such as
More accurate cost figures would be useful. We do not know how much of FC’s business will be single houses vs. bulk orders, and so forth. Therefore, the previous analysis (which uses the highest contribution margin of two-house fences) is suspect at best, unless the pricing and commission structure is altered to give a uniform contribution margin.
Exhibit 4 shows my analysis of the price increase that would be required to break even at 50,000 linear metres for each of the one-house, two-house, and four-house orders. For the two-house orders the price would have to be $12.38 per metre. This price is only slightly lower than the anticipated price of $13.00. Whether or not such a price can actually be charged will depend on the market conditions prevailing in 2010. Market prices would have to be analyzed to estimate the effect of a price increase on demand.
Decrease commission rate
An alternative to increasing the price is to decrease the commission. Assuming that one salesperson sells all of the budgeted output of 50,000 linear metres, then the salesperson will receive gross commission income of
50,000 x $12 x 0.06 = $36,000
This is a high level of remuneration, given that it represents about six months' work. The commission rate could be decreased to perhaps 3%, plus a small bonus based on performance.
The feasibility of decreasing the commission rate will depend upon negotiations with the salesperson and the arrangements made in the previous year. Possibly one of the Wood brothers could take on the job of selling, to save the entire commission.
The rates of commission should be linked to the contribution margins obtained on the sales. An increased commission on volume sales is unnecessary, since the salesperson will try to sell in bulk wherever possible anyway. The salesperson should not be allowed to give discounts if commission is based on gross revenue. (Salespeople will generally give discounts readily rather than lose sales.) The giving of the discount costs the salesperson only a small amount in remuneration because his or her commission is based on gross revenue, but it costs FC a great deal as a percentage of the contribution margin. By tying the salesperson's commission to the contribution margin, the problem of harmful discounting will disappear, while the salesperson will earn the same amount overall. In short, salespeople will become more aware of profitability.
Increase capacity
Assuming that the prices and commission remain the same as planned, the level of output can be increased. Exhibit 5 shows my analysis of the required level of output and the additional costs that will be incurred to achieve that output. The increased output will be achievable if
Feasibility of FC revised
Exhibit 6 provides my analysis of the overall impact of the changes suggested above. Assuming the selling price is increased to $13.00 per linear metre and output is projected to be 62,000 metres, FC will make a profit of
$63,880. The Wood brothers will be able to draw a salary of about $93,880, as $30,000 of remuneration is included in the fixed costs.
I cannot tell how likely it is that FC will be able to achieve an increased output at the assumed prices, as I have only a limited knowledge of the industry. However, FC's ability to produce at the increased level, charging a price that will not only produce a profit but will also be acceptable to customers, will determine the company's success. Thus the various options discussed above must be considered in light of the realities of FC's business world.
Inventory Control, Purchasing, Scheduling, and Costing
A systematic way of scheduling jobs must be devised. Customers should be given firm dates and, wherever possible, transportation of wood and machinery should be kept to a minimum. Installation of fences should be done on an area-by-area basis to reduce transportation costs and supervision. FC should purchase in bulk to take advantage of discounts. The company should also try to avoid having excess wood on hand due to costs of financing this inventory and storage problems. Trade-offs may have to be made when deciding on inventory levels, but they cannot be quantified without further information.
The wood allocated to each job should be accounted for by each team and given to them before the job starts. The team supervisor should complete a form showing the wood allocated; the wood remaining; the time spent on the job by employees; the amounts of supplies such as glue, stain used; and any tools broken. The teams should be controlled through site inspection and analysis of the costs.
Costs per metre for various jobs and teams should be reviewed and compared. Eventually, standard costs can be determined for each order on the basis of the above information. Once standard costs are known, it will be possible to use this information in planning future prices and levels of output.
The standards could serve as a benchmark: actual costs incurred on a job can be compared with the standards to identify any inefficiencies and ways of controlling them in the future. Standard costs will also be useful for financial reporting.
It is assumed that two houses will require 200 metres of fencing and other supplies, but this will not be the case exactly, since they will usually have a common boundary. The total linear metres will depend upon the exact circumstances.
Assumptions in contribution-margin analysis
a It is assumed that the salesperson will generally discount to $12 per metre, since his or her commission is based on gross revenue, not on contribution margin.
b The sales commission has been based on the gross revenue before volume discount. The proposed commission scheme is unclear. Basing commission on gross revenue after volume discount would increase gross revenue and contribution margin by $38. The contribution margin per metre would be about $0.62.
c Costs of wood and incidentals have been adjusted for inflation by 10% to reflect assumed price increases.
d Cost of labour is computed as follows:
Three workers can build 100 metres per eight-hour day; therefore, time per 100 metres is 3 x 8 = 24 hours.
Average labour rate was $5 per hour last year; therefore, assume $5.50 per hour this year: ($5.00 + 10% increase)
24 hours x $5.50 = $132 per 100 metres
No provision has been made for insurance, office supplies, advertising, idle time, heat, light, power and property taxes at the warehouse, interest expense, and miscellaneous.
a Based on 2009 figures unadjusted.
b Approximate estimate only.
Fixed costs will probably exceed $102,000 due to inflation and items not included.
Assumptions
This will be attainable with six crews during the period May–September and three crews in October and November. The fixed costs may vary slightly from those given above, since this is a circular calculation.
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