3. One half percent of the population has a particular disease. A test is developed for the disease. The test gives a false positive 3% of the time and a false negative 2% of the time. a. [7] What is the probability that Joe (a random person) tests positive? b. [6] Joe just got the bad news that the test came back positive; what is the probability that Joe has the disease?
3. One half percent of the population has a particular disease. A test is developed for...
A disease affects 16% of the population. There is a test (not perfect) that detects disease with a probability of 98% (i.e comes back positive when the person has the disease). However, the test produces 5% false positives, i.e comes back positive even though the person does not have the disease. i) A person who has the disease is tested, what is the probability that the test will come back negative. ii) What is the probability that a randomly selected...
For a particular disease, the probability of having the disease in a particular population is 0.04. If someone from the population has the disease, the probability that she/he tests positive of this disease is 0.95. If this person does not have the disease, the probability that she/he tests positive is 0.01. What is the probability that a randomly selected person from the population has a positive test result?
A test has been developed to diagnose certain disease. The following information is available: 0.6 % of the population have the disease When a person has the disease, the probability that the test gives a (+) signal is 0.96 When a person does not have the disease, the probability that the test gives a (-) signal is 0.04 a) If your test result is (+), what is the probability that you actually have the disease? b) If your test result is...
it is estimated that 40% of all sharks have a particular disease. Suppose a test for the disease has been developed - it has a false positive rate of 10% and a false negative rate of 5%. i) calculate the probability that a randomly selected shark will test positive for the disease. ii) if a shark tests positive for the disease, what is the probability that the shark actually has the disease?
One percent of all individuals in a certain population are carriers of a particular disease. A diagnostic test for this disease has a 95% detection rate for carriers and a 4% detection rate for non-carriers. Suppose the test for this is applied independently to two different blood samples from the same randomly selected individual. Hint: Use Notation A= {no disease} A'={disease} B1= {1st test positive} B2={2nd test positive} a) What is the probability that the first test is positive? b)...
It is estimated that 1% of all people have a particular disease. The test for this disease has a false positive rate of 2%, and a false negative rate of 3%. 1. Draw a tree diagram for this experiment. 2. Suppose that a person is selected at random and tested. Given that the test is negative, what is probability that the person does not have the disease?
3) A certain blood test for a disease gives a positive result 90% of the time among patients having the disease. It also gives a positive result 25% of the time among people who do not have the disease. It is believed that 30% of the population has this disease a) What is the probability that a person with a positive test result indeed has the disease? b) What is the probability that the blood test gives a negative result?...
It is known that 2.6% of the population has a certain disease. A new test is developed to screen for the disease. A study has shown that the test returns a positive result for 18% of all individuals, and returns a positive result for 92% of individuals who do have the disease. If a person tests positively for the disease under this test, what is the probability that they actually have the disease? 0.1276 0.1329 0.1435 0.1223 O 0.1382
A rare but serious disease, D, has been found in 0.01 percent of a certain population. A test has been developed that will be positive, p, for 98 percent of those who have the disease and be positive for 3 percent of those who do not have the disease. Find the probability that a person tested as positive does not have the disease.
2. A rare disease affects 1% of the population. A test has a sensitivity of 98%, i.e., it will give a positive result 98% of the time that a person actually has the disease. The same test also has a specificity of 95%, i.e., it will give a negative result 95% of the time when a person does not have the disease. Denote the event that a randomly person has a disease by D, and the event that a randomly...