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4. (23 pts) As you may recall, the American rouletie wheel has 38 equally-kely slots. Of these, 18 are red, 18 are black and 2 are green. A gambler makes repeated bets on red Let number of bets made up to and including the first time she wins the bet a. Write down the probability mass function for X b. What is the chance she needs at least four bets to fiest win with rod? Give a numerical (decimal) c. What is her expected number of bets to first win with rod? Give a sumerical (decimall) answer
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Answer #1

a)probability of red =18/38=9/19 (as there are 18 slot of red out of 38)

here X follows geometric distribution for which probability mass function

P(X=x) =P(till x-1 events red does not appear and on Xth event red appears) P(X=x) =(10/19)x-1*(9/19)

b)P(at least 4 bets to win first bet) =P(for first 3 bet red does not appear) =(10/19)3=0.1458

c) expected number of bets to first win with red =1/p=1/(9/19) =19/9=2.11

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