Question

Problem 3-1 A commercial bakery has recorded sales in dozens) for three products, as shown below. Blueberry Muffins 52 Cinnamon Buns Cupcakes 58 a. Predict orders for the following day for each of the products using an appropriate naive method forecast is Blueberry Muffin Cinnamon Buns Cupcakes : The basic naive The (Click to select) The (Click to select) forecast is forecast is b. What should the use of sales data instead of demand imply? The use of sales data instead of demand implies that sales adequately reflect demand We are assuming that no stock-outs occurred because demand equals sales if there are no shortages
the answers that are filled in are correct. please determine which naive method was used for the cinnamon buns and cupcakes. the choices are: trend-adjusted naive, seasonal-adjusted naive or basic naive. (the answer is not basic naive for cinnamon buns and cupcakes, i tried and got the wrong answer when i selected that option)

Answer 1

Solution The data given in Day Blue berry Muffins the question are as follows Cupcakes Cinnamon Buns 67 N 32 N 36 N 70 N 43 w - a mano itooo & 38 w 36 w in n is n in is in N N N dood doom is - es t is is in 68 w 35 w 39 w 32 w N 73 Nm 36 is w et in doo in 3 a is

Step-1 Draw the graph between days and Sales sales of Cupcakes Blueberry Muffins sot 407 304 Cinnamon Buns 207 lot + 3 + 4 + 8 1 2 5 6 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 days Step-2 it sales data therefare. Next 158.Ang clearly seen that the Blue berry muffing almost stable so it is Bosic Naive forecast for blue be soy muffins is

Step-3 the demand of cinnamon bung is trend - adjusted naive. it seen clearly in graph because it increases linearly. it seen in cinnamon bung the last two data increase by 2 Numberg.so. 45-43 = 2 and the next for cast is 45+2=> 47 Ang Cinnamon bung. Step-4 the demona of Cup Cakes is seasonal - adjusted naive it seen clearly in graph of red line because, it increase as well as decreasy after some days. first day - 67, 4th day 70, 8th day - 68 12th day - 73 therefare, the next forecast is 69 For Cup cares Anys