Question

2. Following are data related to Corona Virus 19 in Indonesia since several days in March April 2020 Date Positive Corona Death Recovered 02.04.2020 1790 170 01.04.2020 1677 157 31.03.2020 1528 136 30.03.2020 1414 122 29.03.2020 1285 114 28.03.2020 1155 27.03.2020 1046 26.03.2020 893 25.03.2020 790 a. Based on the "epidemic theory" of accident (accident theory), explain what is happening and what do you think is the curative step in handling it so that this case does not extend to becoming a pandemic? b. Based on the data in the form of the table above, how can you make that data so that you can "talk" to explain and describe it so that ordinary people more easily understand and understand what has been (past), present (present) and will (future) occur. Please give a reason and a description of the explanation.

Answer 1

a)The above data shows the upward trend in positive cases and deaths thought there is a proportionate recoveries too.

The rapid population is not following the strict guidelines recommended by WHO.

Following are the curative steps to be taken so as to prevent the case not to extend it to a pandemic .

1) A rapid shift from containment to a mitigation approach in order to delay transmission.

2) Social distancing measures should be implemented early to delay pandemic peak.

3) The immediate isolation of symptomatic patients or confirmed cases.

4) The suspension of mass gathering by social distancing at workplaces.

5) Cancellation of non -essential travels and events.

6) Ensuring the public is aware of seriousness of COVID-19.

7) If resources of capacity are limited,rational approaches should be implemented to prioritize  high yield actions e.g focus only on isolation,rational use of confirmatory testing etc.

A strategic approach based on early and rigorous applications of these measures will help to reduce this burden.

b) Based on the data in the form of above data as on 25.03.2020 there were 790 positive cases , 58 were deaths and 31 were recovered cases and till on 31.03.2020 there were 1528 positive cases ,136 were recovered and were 103 deaths till

this date and as on 02.04.2020 there are 1790 positive cases and 170 deaths and 112 recovered.It has been the peak of the disease outbreak as there are more active cases.As we move down in a table it shows that the death rates were low and the recoveries were taking place proportionately. It means that if there is a need to take WHO guidelines into

consideration,so that the rate could be slowed down in future. But there could be the uncertainty of events too as the positive cases are increasing day by day. It could be slowed down by applying strict personal hygiene, coughing etiquette,self monitoring etc,so as to delay and reduce further transmission medical professionals should be equipped with protective gears.