Question

4. The Toyota Camry is one of the best-selling cars in North America. The cost of a previously owned Camry depends on many factors, including the model year, mileage, and condition. To investigate the relationship between the cars mileage and the sales price for Camrys, the following data show the mileage and sale price for 19 sales (PriceHub web site, February 24, 2012) Miles (1,000s Price (S1,000s 16.2 29 36 47 63 73 87 92 101 110 28 59 68 68 13.8 11.5 12.5 12.9 11.2 13 11.8 10.8 8.3 12.5 11.1 15 12.2 13 15.6 12.7 8.3 42 65 110 Develop an estimated regression equation showing how price is related to miles driven. What is the estimated regression model? Test whether each of the regression parameters for the slope and the y-intercept is equal to zero at 0.01. How much of the variation in the sample values of price does the model estimated in part (a) explain? Suppose that you are considering purchasing a previously owned Camry that has been driven 60,000 miles. Use the estimated regression equation developed in part (a) to predict the price for this car. Is this the price you will offer the seller? Hint: To answer these questions, make sure you remove all the outliers that may be present in the data a. b. c. d.

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Answer #1

Step-1

Create a box-plot of residuals and check the normality of residuals.

1 Miles Price Prediction 2 22 16.2 =TREND(SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:$A$20,A2) =B2-C2 3 29 16 TREND SBS2:SB$20,SAS2:SAS20.A3) B3-C3 4 36 13.8 TREND (SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SAS20,A4) B4-C4 5 47 11.5 -TREND SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SAS20.A5) B5-C5 6 63 12.5 FTREND SBS2:SBS20,SAS2:SAS20,A6) -B6-C6 7 77 12.9 TREND SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SAS20.A7)B7-C7 8 73 11.2TREND(SB$2:SBS20,SAS2 SAS20A8)B8-C8 9 87 13 TREND (SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SAS20,A9) B9-C9 10192 11.8 =TREND(SBS2:SBS20.$A$25A$20.-A10)=B 10-C10 11|101 10.8 ะโREND(SB$25B$20.$A$25A$20.All) -B 11-C11 12110 8.3 :TREND($B$25B$20.$A$25A$20.A12) =B 12-C 12 Residuals 14 59 111 TREND SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SA$20.A14) B14-C14 15 68 15 REND SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SA$20.A15) B15-C15 16 68 12.2 REND SBS2:SB$20,SAS2:SA$20.A1) B16-C16 17 91 13 TREND SBS2:SBS20,SAS2:SAS20,A17) B17-C17 18 42 15.6 TREND SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SA$20.A18) B18-C18 1965 12.7TREND SB$2:SB$20,SAS2:SAS20,A19)B19-C19 20 110 8.3 TREND SBS2:SB20,SAS2:SAS20,A20) -B20-C20 01234567890 345678 123 69696969696969 696969696969696969696969 69696969696969696969696969696969696969 69696969696969 6969696969 69696969696969 -0000000000000000000 69696969696969696969696969696969696969 69696969696969 696969696969696969696969 69696969696969696969696969696969696969 69696969696969696969696969696969696969 es es es es 2152352 34677891125669461

Miles Price Prediction Residuals
22 16.2 15.18 1.02
29 16 14.77 1.23
36 13.8 14.35 -0.55
47 11.5 13.71 -2.21
63 12.5 12.77 -0.27
77 12.9 11.94 0.96
73 11.2 12.18 -0.98
87 13 11.36 1.64
92 11.8 11.06 0.74
101 10.8 10.53 0.27
110 8.3 10.00 -1.70
28 12.5 14.82 -2.32
59 11.1 13.00 -1.90
68 15 12.47 2.53
68 12.2 12.47 -0.27
91 13 11.12 1.88
42 15.6 14.00 1.60
65 12.7 12.65 0.05
110 8.3 10.00 -1.70

Probability Plot of Residuals Mean 7.479397E-16 1.498 19 0.319 0.509 StDev AD P-Value 10 Residuals Boxplot of Residuals

The boxplot of the residuals and the normality test for the residuals shows that there are no outliers.

(a)

Model

SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 0.734 0.539 0.512 1.541 19 ANOVA MS Regressiorn Residual Total 47.1580 47.158019.8490 40.3893 2.3758 87.5474 0.0003 17 18 Coefficients 16.4698 0.0588 99.0% 19.22 0.02 Standard Error P-value 0.95 17.360.0000 0.01-4.46 0.0003 t Stat Lower 95% U r 95% Lower 99.0% U Intercept Miles 14.47 0.09 18.47 0.03 13.72 0.10

(b)

The respective P values of Slope of Miles and the Intercept are less than 0.01. So, the null hypothesis that their values are zero is rejected.

(c)

The R2 value is 0.539 which means that 53.9% of the variation of the Price is explained by the Miles data.

(d)

Miles = 60 ('000)

So, Price (in $1,000) = -0.0588 * 60 + 16.4698 = 12.9418 i.e. $12941.8

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