Question

Consider the following card game with a well-shuffled deck of cards. If you draw a red...

Consider the following card game with a well-shuffled deck of cards. If you draw a red card, you win nothing. If you get a spade, you win $5. For any club, you win $12 plus an extra $15 for the ace of clubs. Let Xi denote the possible winnings in this scenario

How much should one pay to play so this game breaks even?

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Answer #1

Xi = 0 ; If a red card is drawn ; Probability of drawing a red card = Number of red cards / Total number of cards = 26/52

Xi = $5 ; If a spade card is drawn ; Probability of drawing a spade card = Number of spade cards / Total number of cards = 13/52

if a club is drawn you get $12 for club card and extra $15 for ace of clubs therefore if club of ace is drawn Xi = 15+12= 27 ;

i.e

Xi = 27 ; If a club ace is drawn ; Probability of drawing a club ace = Number of club ace cards / Total number of cards = 1/52

Xi = $12 ; If a Club card is drawn but not a club ace ; Probability of drawing a club card but not a club ace = Number of club cards and not a ace / Total number of cards = 12/52

Therefore following is the probability distribution of Xi

Xi P(Xi)
0 26/52
5 13/52
12 12/52
27 1/52

For this game to break even ; one play Expected value of the game i.e E(X)

Therefore ;

For one should pay $4.54 to play for this game to break even

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