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Let ?1,?2,…,??be a collection of independent discrete random variables that all take the value 1 with...

Let ?1,?2,…,??be a collection of independent discrete random variables that all take the value 1 with probability p and take the value 0 with probability (1-p).

a) Compute the mean and the variance of ?1 (which is the same for ?2, ?3, etc.)

b) Use your answer to (a) to compute the mean and variance of ?̂ = 1/n (?1 + ?2 + ⋯+ ??), which is the proportion of “ones” observed in the n instances of ??.

c) Suppose n = 10,000. Use Chebyshev’s inequality to provide an upper bound for the probability that the difference between ?̂ and ? exceeds 0.05.

d) Use calculus to show that if ? is a number between 0 and 1, then ?(1 − ?) ≤ 1/4 .

e) Use your answers to (c) and (d) to provide an upper bound, that does not depend on ?, for the probability that the difference between ?̂ and ? exceeds 0.05.

f) Interpret this problem in the context of randomly sampling 10,000 people from a large population, asking them a yes-no question, and using the result to make an inference about the whole population.

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