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In an election, there was a male and a female candidate and voters were either Democrats...

In an election, there was a male and a female candidate and voters were either Democrats or non-Democrats.

90% (.90) of the voters were Democrats, and 10% (.10) were non-Democrats.

20% (.20) of the Democrats voted for the female candidate.

45% (.45) of the non-Democrats voted for the female candidate.

You know that someone voted for the female candidate, and you are trying to figure out if they are a Democrat.

A. Which number in the problem is P(Democrat)?

B. Which number in the problem is P(~Democrat)?

C. Which number in the problem is P(Vote Female | Democrat)?

D. Which number in the problem is P(Vote Female|~Democrat)?

E. From the given values, compute P(Democrat & Vote Female).

F. From the given values, compute P(~Democrat & Vote Female).

G. For someone who voted for the female candidate, is it more likely that they are a Democrat or non-Democrat?

H. Refer to your answer on the previous question. How many times more likely is the option you selected, compared to the option you didn't select?

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