The first forecast for a five period moving average would be in which period?
Group of answer choices
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fifth
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sixth
The first forecast for a five period moving average would be in which period? Group of...
Question 1 Calcuate a five-period moving average forecast for June Period Actual Forecsat Jan 545 Feb 567 Mar 568 Apr 561 May 476 June
Period 2 3 4 5 6 3 Period Moving Average 4 Period Moving Average Observation Forecast Error Error A2 Abs Error Forecast Exponential Smoothing Error Error 2 Abs Error Forecast Error 86 Error A2 Abs Error 85 Assume FAI 80 81 86 89 95 88 91 92 88 96 MSE MSE MSE MAD MAD Alpha 02 8 9 10 11 12 13 MAD According to MSE, what is the best forecasting model to MAD, what is the best forecasting model
Based on the following data determine the sixth forecast using Weighted Moving Average with (45 %, 35%, 15%, 5%) Period Actual Sales 1 62 2. 94 54 4 37 85
Use a three-period simple moving average and weighted-moving average and Naive methods to forecast the 8th month. Calculate and compare the MAD for methods. Month Sales MA AD WMA AD Naive AD 1 20 --- --- --- --- --- --- 2 25 --- --- --- --- --- --- 3 22 --- --- --- --- --- --- 4 26 5 22 6 24 7 26 8 ---- ? ? AD: Absolute Deviation MA: Moving Average WMA: Weighted Moving Average
The moving average forecast corresponds to the naïve forecast when the forecast window is ______ time period(s). Multiple Choice one two three zero
Develop a two-period weighted moving average forecast for periods 12 through 15. Use weights of 0.9 and 0.1, with the most recent observation weighted higher Demand 229 389 461 330 406 Period 10 12 13 Calculate the forecasts for periods 12-15 by using a two-period weighted moving average model (enter your responses rounded to the nearest whole number) Demand 229 389 461 330 Forecast Period 10 12 13 14 406
If you made a forecast for Week 19, based on a 3 week weighted moving average, with oldest data to most recent data weighted 0.20, 0.30, and 0.50, respectively, how much would your forecast be different from the actual jobless claims? Week Jobless claims (in thousands) 1 400 2 393 3 392 4 396 5 404 6 385 7 368 8 366 9 387 10 375 11 402 12 355 13 379 14 373 15 361 16 351 17 353...
In Excel, create a forecast for periods 6-13 using the following method: 5 period simple moving average. Using a 5 period simple moving average, the forecast for period 13 will be: Period Data 1 45 2 52 3 48 4 59 5 55 6 55 7 64 8 58 9 73 10 66 11 69 12 74
Using the data below, what is the weighted moving average forecast for the 4th week? The weights are 20,30.50 (oldest period to most recent period) Week Time Series Value 17.00 17.00 7.00 20.00 Submit Answer format: Number: Round to: 1 decimal places. Using the data below and the SES forecast 00.3, what is the error for the 3rd week? Week Time Series Value 6.00 19.00 17.00 23.00 Submit
#1.8 The MSE-better forecast for the foregoing Moving Average models is #1.9 The MSE-better forecast for the foregoing Exponential Smoothing models is #1.10 The MSE-best model among the foregoing Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Linear Regression models is because Year Period (t)Enrollment (1000s) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 6.5 8.1 8.4 10.2 12.5 13.3 13.7 17.2 18.1 4 #1.8 The MSE-better forecast for the foregoing Moving Average models is #1.9 The MSE-better forecast for the foregoing...