What is the EVPI?
Success |
Moderate Success |
Failure |
|
Probability |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
Sell Company |
107 |
107 |
107 |
Form Joint Venture |
210 |
120 |
89 |
Sell Software on own |
420 |
234 |
-100 |
Number: Round to: 1 decimal places.
E(sell company) =0.3*107+0.3*107+0.4*107 =107
E(from Joint Venture )=134.6
E(sell software) =156.2
tehrefore expected value without information ,max(107,134.6,156.2) =156.2
expected value with perfect information=0.3*420+0.3*234+0.4*107=239
hence EVPI =239-156.2 =82.8
What is the EVPI? Success Moderate Success Failure Probability 0.3 0.3 0.4 Sell Company 107 107...
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