For investors, company growth is desirable only if it increases their return on investment—either its stock price and/or its dividends increase. According to the dividend discount model, it is possible for a company to grow while its stock price declines. A company's stock price will increase only if the company can reinvest the money and earn a higher rate of return than the required rate of return demanded by investors. The additional growth of a company's earnings has net present value of growth opportunities (PVGO).
If its ROE is greater than the required rate of return, then its PVGO exceeds zero, and the stock price will increase if the company reinvests some of its earnings for further growth. If the PVGO is zero, meaning that the ROE equals the capitalization rate, then it makes no difference to the stock price if earnings are reinvested or not; however, an earnings retention rate greater than that necessary to maintain liquidity will lower the dividend without increasing the stock price. If PVGO is negative, then the company will still grow, but its overall ROE will decline, and with it, its stock price. Therefore, the company should distribute most of its earnings as dividends, since that will yield the greatest return for stockholders.
PVGO is value over E/r. Note that E/r is simply the value of a company that is not growing i.e. PV of a perpetuity. Such would be the case when the company distributes all of its earnings - it would not grow - and hence PVGO is zero. When PVGO is anything other than zero (positive or negative), it does not distribute all of the earnings. If retained earnings are invested in positive npv projects (or market expects it to), PVGO>0. If retained earnings are squadered in negative NPV projects, PVGO<0.
If retained earnings are invested in 0 NPV projects, PVGO would (still) be zero.
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