Is the following MA(2) process covariance-stationary?
Yt = (1 + 2.4L + 0.8L2) εt, with E ( εt εT) =
$$ \left\{\begin{array}{c} 1 \text { for } t=\tau \\ 0 \text { otherwise } \end{array}\right. $$
If so, calculate its auto-covariances.
Note: L defines the lag in variable for interest, for instance,
Here,
So
A process is called covariance-stationary, if:
1) Its mean is independent of time.
2) Variance does not depend on the time
3) , i.e. covariance between two-time points depends only on the size of the interval between them
Let's get the required moments:
1) Mean
Thus, mean is independent of time.
2) Variance
Thus, variance is independent of time too.
3) Auto-Covariances
Thus, autocovariance is independent of time too.
Thus this MA(2) process is covariance-stationary.
a) Consider the following moving average process, MA(2): Yt = ut + α1ut-1 + α2ut-2 where ut is a white noise process, with E(ut)=0, var(ut)=σ2 and cov(ut,us)=0 . Derive the mean, E(Yt), the variance, var(Yt), and the covariances cov( Yt,Yt+1 ) and cov(Yt,Yt+2 ), of this process. b) Give a definition of a (covariance) stationary time series process. Is the MA(2) process (covariance) stationary?
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