Question

Calculate the 95% prediction intervals for the four diferent investments induded in the following table. Small Stocks 18.29%

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Answer #1

Small stock

as per 95% rule
range = mean +/- 2*std dev
=18.29 +/- 2*39.58
=18.29 - 2*39.58 to 18.29 + 2*39.58
=-60.87 to 97.45

S&P

as per 95% rule
range = mean +/- 2*std dev
=11.98 +/- 2*19.46
=11.98 - 2*19.46 to 11.98 + 2*19.46
=-26.94 to 50.9

Corp bonds

as per 95% rule
range = mean +/- 2*std dev
=5.49 +/- 2*6.25
=5.49 - 2*6.25 to 5.49 + 2*6.25
=-7.01 to 17.99

T bills

as per 95% rule
range = mean +/- 2*std dev
=4.55 +/- 2*3.41
=4.55 - 2*3.41 to 4.55 + 2*3.41
=-2.27 to 11.37
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