Question

really need help on this

10. Who likes George Bush in 2012? The model summarized below predicts the Bush feeling thermometer as a function of age (in years, 18-93), education (1-lowest, 16-highest), income (1-poor, 28-rich) and party id (from "1" Strong Democrat to "7 Strong Republican) and also includes dummy variables for gender (female-1) and race (non-white-1). Which two demographic characteristics have the biggest impact on feelings toward Bush? Explain how you reached the conclusion. Are there any surprises in the output? Model Surmmary ErTor he Estimate R Square Model 24.032 a Predictors: (Constant, minority, female, PRE: Highest level of Education, PRE: SUMMARY Age of R, CASUNVEB PREPOST SUMMARY- Family income, PRE: SUMMARY- Party D Coefficients Standardized Unstandardized Coeficients Coeficients Sig BStd. Err Beta Model 976 1.450 644 019 035 041 162 769 043 3.179 185 018 043 9.132 1.260 1(Constant female 14.933 005 490624 011 1051 293 617 8.525 000 051 102 76700 PRE: SUMMARY Age of R PRE: Highest level of Education CASIWEB: PREPOST SUMMARY- Family income PRE SUMMARY-Party ID minority 018-1.639 101 a. Dependent Variable: PRE: Feeling Thermometer GW Bush

Answer 1

Let’s take a look at the output table and see that which variables are significant and which are not from the p-value.

We can see that the female, Age and Party ID variables are significant in predicting the Bush feeling as the p-value < 0.05. Other variables are not significant in prediction and hence they will not be considered to be having any significant impact on feelings towards Bush.

Out of the three significant variables, we can see that the t-value associated with Party ID of 56.525 is the highest which means it has the strongest impact. The second greatest t-value is of Age which has a t-statistic of 9.767. Hence, we can say that the Age and Party ID have the biggest impact on feelings towards Bush.

There isn’t any surprise in the Party ID as George Bush was from the Republican party and hence the Party ID effect is justified. Also, with increasing age there are more feelings towards Bush. There is a surprise with the females that according to the output, females tend to have more feelings toward Bush than males which does not seem to be true in reality.