Death can take on the following values
3, 3.5, 4, 4.5, . . . , 79.5, where death at age 3 during the first half-year is counted as 3, death at age 3 in the second half-year as 3.5 etc.
Preliminaries I: Compound interest & present values
Preliminaries II: Expected value
de Witt’s formula for life annuities
P(death occurs on or before 62.5)= P(D<=62.5)=P(D=3)+P(D=3.5)+...P(D=52.5)+P(D=53)+...P(D=62.5)
Now,
P(D=l)=1/128 for l=3,3.5,...,52.5
P(D=l)=2/384 for l=53,.,62.5
Thus the required probability is 1/128*101 (since there are total 50 numbers between 3 and 52 both inclusive and a further of 52.5) + 2/384*11 (as there are 10 numbers between 53 and 62 and a further of 62.5)
Thus the required probability is 0.8464.
Since this is an annuity certain we have the present value as v+v^2+v^3+...+v^10 = v(1-v^10)/(1-v)=(1-v^10)/i where i=0.035,v=1/1.035. Thus answer is 8.32.
Death can take on the following values 3, 3.5, 4, 4.5, . . . , 79.5, where death at age 3 during the first half-year is counted as 3, death at age 3 in the second half-year as 3.5 etc. Preliminaries I...
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