Assume that it is now January 1, 2017. Wayne-Martin Electric Inc. (WME) has developed a solar panel capable of generating 200% more electricity than any other solar panel currently on the market. As a result, WME is expected to experience a 14% annual growth rate for the next 5 years. Other firms will have developed comparable technology by the end of 5 years, and WME's growth rate will slow to 4% per year indefinitely. Stockholders require a return of 12% on WME's stock. The most recent annual dividend (D0), which was paid yesterday, was $1.88 per share.
D1/P0 = %
Capital gains yield = %
Expected total return = %
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a. D0=Current Dividend =$1.88
g= Dividend growth rate next 5 years =14%=0.14
Expected dividend in Year 1(Next year)=D1=D0*(1+g)=1.88*1.14=$2.14
Expected dividend in Year 2=D2=D1*(1+g)=2.14*1.14=$2.44
Expected dividend in Year 3=D3=D2*(1+g)=2.44*1.14=$2.79
Expected dividend in Year 4=D4=D3*(1+g)=2.79*1.14=$3.18
Expected dividend in Year 5=D5=D4*(1+g)=3.18*1.14=$3.62
Growth rate after year 5=g1=4%=0.04
Expected dividend in Year 6=D6=D5*(1+g1)=3.62*1.04=$3.76
R=Required return=12%=0.12
Price in Year 5 =P5=D6/(R-g1)
P5=3.76/(0.12-0.04)=$47.06
Value of the stock today =Present Value of future cash flows=
Present Value of cash flow=(Cash Flow)/((1+R)^N)
R=Required Return=0.12, N=year of cash flow
Year(N) | Cash Flow(CF) | Present Value(PV=CF/(1.12^N) | |
1 | D1 | $2.14 | $1.91 |
2 | D2 | $2.44 | $1.95 |
3 | D3 | $2.79 | $1.98 |
4 | D4 | $3.18 | $2.02 |
5 | D5 | $3.62 | $2.05 |
5 | P5 | $47.06 | $26.70 |
SUM | $36.62 |
Value of stock today=$36.62
b. Dividend yield for 2017=Dividend/current price =1.91/36.62=0.0523=5.23%
Capital Gain Yield in 2017=12%-5.23%=6.77%
Expected Total Return =5.23%+6.77%=12%
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