You are a consultant to a large manufacturing corporation that is considering a project with the following net after-tax cash flows (in millions of dollars):
Years from Now After-Tax Cash Flow
0 –65
1–10 15
The project's beta is 1.6.
a. Assuming that rf = 6% and E(rM) = 13%, what is the net present value of the project?
b. What is the highest possible beta estimate for the project before its NPV becomes negative?
As per CAPM |
expected return = risk-free rate + beta * (expected return on the market - risk-free rate) |
Expected return% = 6 + 1.6 * (13 - 6) |
Expected return% = 17.2 |
a | |||||||||||
Project A | |||||||||||
Discount rate | 0.172 | ||||||||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Cash flow stream | -65 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Discounting factor | 1 | 1.172 | 1.373584 | 1.60984 | 1.886733 | 2.211251 | 2.591586 | 3.037339 | 3.559761 | 4.17204 | 4.889631 |
Discounted cash flows project | -65 | 12.79863 | 10.92034 | 9.317694 | 7.9502505 | 6.78349 | 5.787961 | 4.938533 | 4.213766 | 3.595363 | 3.067716 |
NPV = Sum of discounted cash flows | |||||||||||
NPV Project A = | 4.37 | ||||||||||
Where | |||||||||||
Discounting factor = | (1 + discount rate)^(Corresponding period in years) | ||||||||||
Discounted Cashflow= | Cash flow stream/discounting factor | ||||||||||
b | |||||||||||
Project A | |||||||||||
IRR is the rate at which NPV =0 | |||||||||||
IRR | 0.190372039 | ||||||||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Cash flow stream | -65 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Discounting factor | 1 | 1.190372 | 1.416986 | 1.68674 | 2.0078482 | 2.390086 | 2.845092 | 3.386718 | 4.031454 | 4.79893 | 5.712513 |
Discounted cash flows project | -6500.00% | 12.6011 | 10.58585 | 8.892894 | 7.4706844 | 6.275924 | 5.272237 | 4.429067 | 3.720742 | 3.125697 | 2.625815 |
NPV = Sum of discounted cash flows | |||||||||||
NPV Project A = | 1.41909E-05 | ||||||||||
Where | |||||||||||
Discounting factor = | (1 + IRR)^(Corresponding period in years) | ||||||||||
Discounted Cashflow= | Cash flow stream/discounting factor | ||||||||||
IRR= | 19.04% | ||||||||||
As per CAPM |
expected return = risk-free rate + beta * (expected return on the market - risk-free rate) |
19.04 = 6 + Beta * (13 - 6) |
Beta = 1.86 |
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