The Neal Company wants to estimate next year's return on equity (ROE) under different financial leverage ratios. Neal's total capital is $18 million, it currently uses only common equity, it has no future plans to use preferred stock in its capital structure, and its federal-plus-state tax rate is 40%. The CFO has estimated next year's EBIT for three possible states of the world: $4.4 million with a 0.2 probability, $1.9 million with a 0.5 probability, and $0.9 million with a 0.3 probability. Calculate Neal's expected ROE, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation for each of the following debt-to-capital ratios. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places at the end of the calculations.
Debt/Capital ratio is 0.
RÔE = | % |
σ = | % |
CV = |
Debt/Capital ratio is 10%, interest rate is 9%.
RÔE = | % |
σ = | % |
CV = |
Debt/Capital ratio is 50%, interest rate is 11%.
RÔE = | % |
σ = | % |
CV = |
Debt/Capital ratio is 60%, interest rate is 14%.
RÔE = | % |
σ = | % |
CV = |
When Debt capital ratio is 0% |
|||||
EBIT |
2.1 |
||||
less interest |
0 |
||||
earning before tax |
2.1 |
||||
less tax 40% |
0.84 |
||||
earning available to equity share holders |
1.26 |
||||
Return on equity |
(net income/value of equity)*100 |
7 |
|||
Probability |
expected return |
expected return*probability |
Expected return- average return |
square of (expected return- average return) |
probability*square of (expected return- average return) |
0.2 | 4.4 | 0.88 | -1.22 | 1.4884 | 0.298 |
0.5 | 1.9 | 0.95 | -1.15 | 1.3225 | 0.661 |
0.3 | 0.9 | 0.27 | -1.83 | 3.3489 | 1.005 |
average return or EBIT | sum of expected return*probability | 2.1 | Variance =sum of probability*square of (expected return- average return) | 1.964 | |
standard deviation = square root of variance | 1.401 | ||||
coefficient of variance =(standard deviation /average return)*100 | 66.714 | ||||
When Debt capital ratio is 10% |
|||||
EBIT |
2.1 |
||||
less interest |
(18*10%)*9% |
0.162 |
|||
earning before tax |
1.938 |
||||
less tax 40% |
0.7752 |
||||
earning available to equity share holders |
1.628 |
||||
Return on equity |
(net income/value of equity)*100 =[1.628/(18-1.8)]*100 |
10.04938 |
|||
Probability |
expected return |
expected return*probability |
Expected return- average return |
square of (expected return- average return) |
probability*square of (expected return- average return) |
0.2 |
4.4 |
1.02 |
-1.22 |
1.4884 |
0.298 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
-1.15 |
1.3225 |
0.661 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
0.27 |
-1.83 |
3.3489 |
1.005 |
average return |
sum of expected return*probability |
2.1 |
Variance =sum of probability*square of (expected return- average return) |
1.964 |
|
standard deviation = square root of variance |
1.401 |
||||
coefficient of variance |
66.714 |
||||
When Debt capital ratio is 50% |
|||||
EBIT |
2.1 |
||||
less interest |
(18*50%)*11% |
0.99 |
|||
earning before tax |
1.11 |
||||
less tax 40% |
0.444 |
||||
earning available to equity share holders |
0.666 |
||||
Return on equity |
(net income/value of equity)*100 =[0.666/(18-9)]*100 |
7.4 |
|||
Probability |
expected return |
expected return*probability |
Expected return- average return |
square of (expected return- average return) |
probability*square of (expected return- average return) |
0.2 |
4.4 |
0.88 |
-1.22 |
1.4884 |
0.298 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
0.95 |
-1.15 |
1.3225 |
0.661 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
0.27 |
-1.83 |
3.3489 |
1.005 |
average return |
sum of expected return*probability |
2.1 |
Variance =sum of probability*square of (expected return- average return) |
1.964 |
|
standard deviation = square root of variance |
1.401 |
||||
coefficient of variance |
66.714 |
||||
When Debt capital ratio is 60% |
|||||
EBIT |
2.1 |
||||
less interest |
(18*60%)*14% |
1.512 |
|||
earning before tax |
0.588 |
||||
less tax 40% |
0.2352 |
||||
earning available to equity share holders |
0.3528 |
||||
Return on equity |
(net income/value of equity)*100 =[0.3528/(18-10.8)]*100 |
4.9 |
|||
Probability |
expected return |
expected return*probability |
Expected return- average return |
square of (expected return- average return) |
probability*square of (expected return- average return) |
0.2 |
4.4 |
0.88 |
-1.22 |
1.4884 |
0.298 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
0.95 |
-1.15 |
1.3225 |
0.661 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
0.27 |
-1.83 |
3.3489 |
1.005 |
average return |
sum of expected return*probability |
2.1 |
Variance =sum of probability*square of (expected return- average return) |
1.964 |
|
standard deviation = square root of variance |
1.401 |
||||
coefficient of variance |
66.714 |
||||
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