BASE CASE | |||||||
Part-1.Input data(Fig.in $ '000) | Market value of equipment | 500 | |||||
Equipment cost | 20000 | Tax rate | 30% | ||||
Net opg. WC/sales | 20% | WACC | 9% | ||||
Yearly sales(in units) | 5000 | Inflation | 2% | ||||
Sales price/unit | 3 | CCA rate | 30% | ||||
Variable cost/unit | 0.79 | ||||||
Non-variable cost | 800 | ||||||
Part-2-CCA scheulde | Net salvage value | ||||||
Year | Beg.UCC | CCA | End UCC | Market value | 500 | ||
1 | 20000 | 6000 | 14000 | UCC at end yr.4 | 4802 | ||
2 | 14000 | 4200 | 9800 | Loss on salvage | 4302 | ||
3 | 9800 | 2940 | 6860 | tax saved on loss | 1720.8 | ||
4 | 6860 | 2058 | 4802 | Net AT salvage(500+1720.8) | 2220.8 | ||
Part-3.Projected annual Net cash flows | |||||||
Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||
1.Initial investment | -20000 | ||||||
Opg. Cash flows: | |||||||
2.Units sold | 5000 | 5000 | 5000 | 5000 | |||
3.Sales price | 3 | 3.06 | 3.12 | 3.18 | |||
4.Variable costs | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.84 | |||
5.Sales revenue(2*3) | 15000 | 15300 | 15606 | 15918.12 | |||
6.Variable costs(2*4) | 3950 | 4029 | 4109.58 | 4191.77 | |||
7.Non-variable opg.costs | 800 | 816.00 | 832.32 | 848.97 | |||
8.Depreciation(from above) | 6000 | 4200 | 2940 | 2058 | |||
9.Opg. Income(EBIT)(5-6-7-8) | 4250 | 6255 | 7724.1 | 8819.38 | |||
10.Tax at 40%((*40%) | 1700 | 2502 | 3089.64 | 3527.75 | |||
11.NOPAT(9-10) | 2550 | 3753 | 4634.46 | 5291.63 | |||
12. Add back:depn. | 6000 | 4200 | 2940 | 2058 | |||
13.Opg.cash flow(11+12) | 8550 | 7953 | 7574.46 | 7349.63 | |||
Net working capital | |||||||
Reqd. level of NWC | 3000 | 3060 | 3121.2 | 3183.62 | 0 | ||
14.Reqd. Inv.in NWC | -3000 | -60 | -61.2 | -62.42 | 3183.62 | ||
Terminal year cash flows: | |||||||
15.Net salvage value | 2220.8 | ||||||
16.Net cash flow(1+13+14+15) | -23000 | 8490 | 7891.8 | 7512.04 | 12754.0532 | ||
17.PV F at 95(1/1.09^yr.n) | 1 | 0.91743 | 0.84168 | 0.77218 | 0.70843 | ||
18.PV at 9%(16*17) | -23000 | 7788.991 | 6642.37 | 5800.67 | 9035.29 | ||
19.NPV(sum of Row 18) | 6267.32 | ||||||
20. IRR(of row 16) | 20% | ||||||
21.MIRR(of row 16) | 16% | ||||||
Payback period | |||||||
Cumulative CFs(from row 16) | -23000 | -14510 | -6618.2 | 893.84 | 13647.89 | ||
P/B=2+(6618.2/7512.04)= | |||||||
2.88 | |||||||
Years | |||||||
Sensitivity of NPV to changes in the foll. Variables , keeping all the rest at BASE case level | |||||
Deviation % | sales units | Variable costs | Non-Var. costs | Sales price | WACC |
-25% | 970.86 | 8241.01 | 6667.06 | -1002.83 | 7875.21 |
-10% | 4148.74 | 7056.8 | 6427.22 | 3359.26 | 6894.00 |
0 | 6267.32 | 6267.32 | 6267.32 | 6267.32 | 6267.32 |
10% | 8385.91 | 5477.85 | 6107.43 | 9175.38 | 5661.49 |
25% | 11563.79 | 4293.64 | 5867.59 | 13537.47 | 4789.88 |
The project is recommended as it returns POSITIVE NPV in all the Scenarios ,but for 25% decrease in selling price/unit. |
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