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An engineering example involves inspecting a subset of 19 steel support beams on a bridge for signs of enough wear that they need to be replaced. The truth is that in fact 4 beams need to be replaced. Preliminary testing involves selecting 3 of the 19 beams at random, and if any of the 3 tested beams show sufficient wear, then a more extensive review of all of the beams will be called for. What are the chances that the extensive review will happen? (Hint: it is easier to calculate the complementary probability first, and then subtract it from 1.0.)

In the craps question, suppose that the first stage has resulted in a point of 6. What are the chances of winning stage 2 given you got a point ot 57

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PCメーリ 12, 1-1) (メッ 3 6us3

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