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Note: Use of approximation for interest rate parity is OK. Assume the four-year annualized interest rate...

  1. Note: Use of approximation for interest rate parity is OK.

Assume the four-year annualized interest rate in the US is 9 percent and the four-year annualized interest rate in Singapore is 6 percent. Assume interest rate parity holds for a four-year horizon. Assume the spot rate of the Singapore dollar is $.60. If the forward rate is used to forecast exchange rates,

  1. What will be the forecast for the Singapore dollar’s spot rate in four years?
  1. Does this forecast imply expected appreciation or depreciation of the Singapore dollar?
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Answer #1

a. Singapore dollar's spot rate in four years =Spot Rate is Singapore dollar *(1+Singapore Rate)^n/(1+US rate)^n
=0.60*(1+6%)^4/(1+9%)^4 =0.5366

b.Singapore dollar is appreciated over the four years.

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