Problem

The university administration assures a mathematician that he has only 1 chance in 10,00...

The university administration assures a mathematician that he has only 1 chance in 10,000 of being trapped in a much-maligned elevator in the mathematics building. If he goes to work 5 days a week, 52 weeks a year, for 10 years, and always rides the elevator up to his office when he first arrives, what is the probability that he will never be trapped? That he will be trapped once? Twice? Assume that the outcomes on all the days are mutually independent (a dubious assumption in practice).

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