A game popular in Nevada gambling casinos is Keno, which is played as follows: Twenty numbers are selected at random by the casino from the set of numbers 1 through 80. A player can select from 1 to 15 numbers; a win occurs if some fraction of the player's chosen subset matches any of the 20 numbers drawn by the house. The payoff is a function of the number of elements in the player’s selection and the number of matches. For instance, if the player selects only 1 number, then he or she wins if this number is among the set of 20, and the payoff is $2.20 won for every dollar bet, (As the player’s probability of winning in this case is it is clear that the “fair” payoff should be $3 won for every $1 bet.) When the player selects 2 numbers, a payoff (of odds) of $12 won for every $1 bet is made when both numbers are among the 20.
(a) What would be the fair payoff in this case?
Let Pn ,k denote the probability that exactly k of the n numbers chosen by the player are among the 20 selected by the house.
(b) Compute Pn. k
(c) The most typical wager at Keno consists of selecting 10 numbers. For such a bet, the casino pays off as shown in the following table. Compute the expected payoff:
Keno Payoffs in 10 Number Bets | |
Number of matches | Dollars won for each $1 bet |
0-4 | -1 |
5 | 1 |
6 | 17 |
7 | 179 |
8 | 1,299 |
9 | 2,599 |
10 | 24,999 |
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