Refer to equations and . Assume that σu = σx, so that the population variation in the error term is the same as it is in x. Suppose that the instrumental variable, z, is slightly correlated with u: Corr(z,u) = .1. Suppose also that z and x have a somewhat stronger correlation: Corr(z,x) = .2.
(i) What is the asymptotic bias in the IV estimator?
(ii) How much correlation would have to exist between x and u before OLS has more asymptotic bias than 2SLS?
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