Stock A | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Return% | =rate of return% * probability | Actual return -expected return(A)% | (A)^2* probability |
Bear | 0.3333 | 10.4 | 3.46632 | 0.66764 | 1.48566E-05 |
Normal | 0.3333 | 11.3 | 3.76629 | 1.56764 | 8.19083E-05 |
Bull | 0.3333 | 7.5 | 2.49975 | -2.23236 | 0.000166098 |
a. Expected return %= | sum of weighted return = | 9.73 | Sum=Variance Stock A= | 0.00026 | |
b. Standard deviation of Stock A% | =(Variance)^(1/2) | 1.62 | |||
Stock B | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Return% | =rate of return% * probability | Actual return -expected return(A)% | (B)^2* probability |
Bear | 0.3333 | -4.7 | -1.56651 | -15.96554 | 0.008495766 |
Normal | 0.3333 | 15 | 4.9995 | 3.73446 | 0.000464827 |
Bull | 0.3333 | 23.5 | 7.83255 | 12.23446 | 0.004988901 |
a. Expected return %= | sum of weighted return = | 11.27 | Sum=Variance Stock B= | 0.01395 | |
b. Standard deviation of Stock B% | =(Variance)^(1/2) | 11.81 | |||
Covariance Stock A Stock B: | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Actual return% -expected return% for A(A) | Actual return% -expected return% For B(B) | (A)*(B)*probability | |
Bear | 0.3333 | 0.66764 | -15.96554 | -0.000355272 | |
Normal | 0.3333 | 1.56764 | 3.73446 | 0.000195123 | |
Bull | 0.3333 | -2.23236 | 12.23446 | -0.0009103 | |
c. Covariance=sum= | -0.001071 | ||||
d. Correlation A&B= | Covariance/(std devA*std devB)= | -0.5590 | |||
You are given the following information: State of Return on Economy Bear Normal Bull Stock A...
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