Answer(a): Calculating Expected return-
State of economy | Probability | Stock A | Stock B | Stock C |
Boom | .10 | .18 | .48 | .33 |
Good | .30 | .11 | .18 | .15 |
Poor | .40 | .05 | -.09 | -.05 |
Bust | .20 | -.03 | -.32 | -.09 |
Expected return = Probability * Rate of normal return
Expected return of Stock A= (.10*.18) + (.30*.11) + (.40*.05) + (.20*-.03)
Expected return of Stock A: (.018) + (.033) + (.02) + (-.006)
Expected return of Stock A = .065 or 6.5%
Expected return of Stock B= (.10*.48) + (.30*.18) + (.40*-.09) + (.20*-.32)
Expected return of Stock B= (.048) + (.054) + (-.036) + (-.064)
Expected return of Stock B= .002 or .2%
Expected return of Stock C= (.10*.33) + (.30*.15) + (.40*-.05) + (.20*-.09)
Expected return of Stock C= (.033) + (.045) + (-.02) + (-.018)
Expected return of Stock C= .04 Or 4%
Expected return of the portfolio = Sum of all the stocks' expected return
Expected return of the portfolio = (6.5%) + (.2%) + (4%)
Expected return of the portfolio = 10.70%
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