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Consider the following information: Rate of Return if State Occurs State of Probability of State of Economy Stock A Stock B S

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Answer #1
State of Probability of
Economy State of Economy Stock A Stock B stock C
Boom 0.1 0.18 0.48 0.33
good 0.3 0.11 0.18 0.15
poor 0.4 0.05 -0.09 -0.05
bust 0.2 -0.03 -0.32 -0.09
weight 0.25 0.5 0.25
return 0.065 0.002 0.04
weight * return 0.01625 0.001 0.01
Expected return of portfolio E(X) 2.73%
weight * return^2 0.00105625 0.000002 0.0004
E(X^2) 0.00145825
variance of portfolio 0.00072
standard deviation of portfolio 2.68%

Expected return = sum of (probability of state * return of state)

E(X^2) =  sum of (probability of state * return of state^2)

variance = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2

Standard deviation = sqrt(variance)

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