Strike Price = $ 13, RIks-Free Rate = 6 % per annum, Option Maturity = 1 year, Number of price change per annum = 2
Volatility = s = 10 %, Probability of up move = 50 %
Magnitude of Up Move = u = EXP[s x (t)^(1/2)] where t is the length of each time period (time between two consecutive price movements)
u = EXP[0.1 x (0.5)^(1/2)] ~ 1.0733 and d = 1/u = 1/1.0733 ~ 0.9317
Risk-Neutral Probability of Up Move = [EXP(0.06 x 0.5) - 0.9317] / [1.0733 - 0.9317] ~ 0.6974
t= 0 | t= 0.5 | t= 1 | Payoff (Strike Price $ 13 |
Node 1 | 13.953 x 1.0733 ~ $ 14.976 (node 3) | (14.976 - 13) ~ 1.976 | |
Node 0 | 13 x 1.0733 ~ $ 13.953 | ||
$ 13 | Node 2 | 12.112 x 1.0733 ~ $ 12.999 (node 4) | 0 |
13 x 0.9317 ~ $ 12.112 | |||
12.112 x 0.9317 ~ $ 11.285 (node 5) | 0 |
Present Value of Payoff at Node 1 = [1.976 x 0.6974 + 0 x (1-0.6974)] / EXP(0.06 x 0.5) ~ $ 1.3028
Present Value of Payoff at Node 2 = [0 x 0.6974 + 0 x (1-0.6974)] / EXP(0.06 x 0.5) = $ 0
Call Option Premium = PV of of Payoff at Node 0 = [ 1.3028 x 0.6974 + 0 x (1-0.6974)] / EXP(0.06 x 0.5) ~ $ 0.8817
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