a)
probability that student is detained | he has not been
drinking
= probability that police makes wrong decision
= 1 - 0.80
=0.20
b)
A - driver is drinking
B - driver is detained
probability that any given driver be detained
P(B) = P(A) P(B|A) + P(A') P(B|A')
= 0.19 * 0.80 + (1-0.19) (1-0.80)
= 0.314
c)
P(A| B)
= P(A and B)/P(B)
= P(A) P(B|A) / P(B)
= 0.19 * 0.80 / 0.314
= 0.484076
= 0.484
Please rate
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