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An analyst estimates there is a probability of 20 percent that there will be a recession...

An analyst estimates there is a probability of 20 percent that there will be a recession next year. He thinks the probability of things being normal is three times the probability of a recession, with the remaining probability assigned to a boom taking place. A stock is expected to return -14 percent in a recession, 7 percent under normal conditions and 21 percent if there is a boom. What is the expected return (in percent) on this stock? Answer to two decimals, carry intermediate calcs. to four decimals. Thank you!!

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Returns (n) -14.00% 7.00% 21.00% Probability [(P(r)] 0.20 0.60 0.20 Expected return [rxP(r)=u] -2.80% 4.20% 4.20% Expected re

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