Question

Early in​ 2013, Inez​ Marcus, the chief financial officer for Suarez​ Manufacturing, was given the task of assessing the impact of a proposed risky investment on the​ firm's stock value. To perform the necessary​ analysis, Inez gathered the following information on the​ firm's stock.

During the immediate past 5 years​ (2008-2012), the annual dividends paid on the​ firm's common stock were as​ follows:

Year

Dividend per share

2012

$ 1.90

2011

$1.70

2010

$1.55

2009

$1.40

2008

$1.30

The firm expects that without the proposed​ investment, the dividend in 2013 will be $ 2.09 per share and the historical annual rate of growth​ (rounded to the nearest whole​ percent) will continue in the future.​ Currently, the required return on the common stock is 14.0 % ​Inez's research indicates that if the proposed investment is​ undertaken, the 2013 dividend will rise to $ 2.15 per share and the annual rate of dividend growth will increase to 13.0 % She feels that in the best​ case, the dividend would continue to grow at this rate each year into the future and that in the worst​ case, the 13.0 % annual rate of growth in dividends would continue only through​ 2015, and​ then, at the beginning of​ 2016, would return to the rate that was experienced between 2008 and 2012. As a result of the increased risk associated with the proposed risky​ investment, the required return on the common stock is expected to increase by 2.0 % to an annual rate of 16.0 % regardless of which dividend growth outcome occurs. Armed with the preceding​ information, Inez must now assess the impact of the proposed risky investment on the market value of​ Suarez's stock.

a. Find the current value per share of Suarez​ Manufacturing's common stock.

b. Find the value of​ Suarez's common stock in the event that it undertakes the proposed risky investmentand assuming that the dividend growth rate stays at

13.0 % forever. Compare this value to that found in part ​(a​).

What effect would the proposed investment have on the​ firm's stockholders? Explain.

c. On the basis of your findings in part (b​),do the stockholders win or lose as a result of undertaking the proposed risky​ investment? Should the firm do​ it? Why?

d. Rework parts ​(a​)and ​(b​) assuming that at the beginning of 2016 the annual dividend growth rate returns to the rate experienced between 2008 and 2012.



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Answer #1
Scenario 1 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1.3 1.4 1.55 1.7 1.9 2.09
CAGR 10.0%
a)   per share of Suarez​Manufacturing's common stock..
S0 ? S0=D1/(K-g) 34.7
D1 1.4
Ke 14%
g 9.96%
b. 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1.3 1.4 1.55 1.7 1.9 2.15 2.43 2.75 3.02 3.32 3.65 4.01
S0=PV1+PV2 PV2 71.67
PV1 $4.58
PV2 @ T0 $34.12
Total Share value $38.71 2.100342
$10.51
S0= PV1+PV2+PV3
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
PV1 1.3 1.4 1.55 1.7 1.9
PV2 2.15 2.43 2.75
PV3 3.10 3.51 3.96 4.48
PV1 $4.58
PV2 @ 5th year $5.42
PV3 @ 7th year 103.3333
PV2 @ time 0 $2.58
PV3 @ time 0 $36.56
PV $43.73
2.100342
2.82622
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