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Problem 25-5 Suppose a US investor wishes to invest in a British firm currently selling for £33 per share. The investor has $

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Answer #1
  1. Exchange $66000 for $2 per pound and get 33000 pounds
  2. Buy 33000/33 = 1000 shares at the price of 33 pounds each
  3. Enter into a forward contract of exchanging 33000 pounds for $2.05 per pound

Now if the price is

Share price Cost Price Profit per share (negative value means a loss) Total profit on 1000 shares
£        31.00 £        33.00 -£        2.00 -£2000
£        36.00 £        33.00 £        3.00 £3000
£        41.00 £ 33.00 £        8.00 £8000

Now these need to be converted to $ for each exchange rate scenario:

Profit on shares $            1.80/£ $            2.00/£ $            2.20/£
-£           2,000.00 -200 x 1.8 = $ -3,600.00 -2000 x 2 = $ -4,000.00 -2000 x 2.2 = $ -4,400.00
£            3,000.00 3000 x 1.8 = $   5,400.00 3000 x 2 = $   6,000.00 3000 x 2.2 = $   6,600.00
£            8,000.00 8000 x 1.8 = $ 14,400.00 8000 x 2 = $ 16,000.00 8000 x 2.2 = $ 17,600.00

Now coming to the forward contract. Here the contracted rate is $2.05 per  £ so if the actual exchange rate is lower then the investor profits because he can exchange at a higher rate but if the rate in the market is higher, then he will lose because he will have to fulfill the contract at the contracted rate while had he not entered into the contract, he could get a higher rate in the market

Contracted amount $            1.80/£ $            2.00/£ $            2.20/£
£           33,000.00 33000 x (2.05 -1.8) = $8,250.00 33000 x (2.05 -2) = $1,650.00 33000 x (2.05-2.20) = -$4,950.00

So total profit would be:

Share price $            1.80 $            2.00 $            2.20
£        31.00 $ -3,600.00 + 8250 = $4650 $ -4,000.00+1650 = -$2350 $ -4,400.00-4950=-$9350
£        36.00 $   5,400.00+ 8250 = $13650 $   6,000.00+1650 = $7650 $   6,600.00-4950=$1650
£        41.00 $ 14,400.00+ 8250 = $22650 $ 16,000.00+1650 = $17650 $ 17,600.00-4950=$12650

Initial investment was $66000 so the return is :

4650/66000 x 100 = 7.05% -2350/66000 x 100 = -3.56% -9350/66000 x 100 = -14.17%
13650/66000 x 100 = 20.68% 7650/66000 x 100 = 11.59% 1650/66000 x 100 = 2.50%
22650/66000 x 100 = 34.32% 17650/66000 x 100 = 26.74% 12650/66000 x 100 =19.17%
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