Question

Cigarette Smoking and Cancer Death Rates Deaths per year per 100,000 people Cigarettes Bladder per person Massachusetts (a) D
(b) Find the estimated regression line. (c) Test the hypothesis, at the 5 percent level of significance that cigarette consum
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Answer #1

a)

Scatterplot 1000 4000 0 2000 3000 5000

b)

X Y (x-x̅)² (y-ȳ)² (x-x̅)(y-ȳ)
2860 4.46 93373.898 0.173 127.249
2010 3.08 296402.469 0.928 524.596
2791 4.75 55966.041 0.499 167.121
2618 4.09 4041.327 0.002 2.952
2212 4.23 117257.33 0.035 -63.84
2184 2.91 137217.33 1.285 419.91
2344 2.86 44280.18 1.401 249.06
2692 4.69 18925.8980 0.4179 88.9301
2206 3.72 121402.469 0.105 112.742
2914 5.3 129291.612 1.579 451.776
3034 3.46 229988.755 0.341 -279.864
4240 6.54 2841151.041 6.232 4207.909
1400 3.31 1332705.327 0.538 846.856
2257 3.21 88463.755 0.695 247.928
ΣX ΣY Σ(x-x̅)² Σ(y-ȳ)² Σ(x-x̅)(y-ȳ)
total sum 35762 56.61 5510467.429 14.23 7103.31857
mean 2554.43 4.04 SSxx SSyy SSxy

sample size ,   n =   14          
here, x̅ = Σx / n=   2554.43   ,     ȳ = Σy/n =   4.04  
                  
SSxx =    Σ(x-x̅)² =    5510467.4286          
SSxy=   Σ(x-x̅)(y-ȳ) =   7103.3          
                  
estimated slope , ß1 = SSxy/SSxx =   7103.3   /   5510467.429   =   0.0013
                  
intercept,   ß0 = y̅-ß1* x̄ =   0.7508          
                  
so, regression line is   Ŷ =   0.7508   +   0.0013   *x

c)

SSE=   (SSxx * SSyy - SS²xy)/SSxx =    5.074
      
std error ,Se =    √(SSE/(n-2)) =    0.65025

Ho:   ß1=   0          
H1:   ß1╪   0          
n=   14              
alpha =   0.05              
estimated std error of slope =Se(ß1) = Se/√Sxx =    0.65025   /√   5510467   =   0.000
                  
t stat = estimated slope/std error =ß1 /Se(ß1) =    0.0013   /   0.0003   =   4.654
                  
t-critical value=    2.179   [excel function: =T.INV.2T(α,df) ]          
Degree of freedom ,df = n-2=   12              
p-value =    0.0006              
decison :    p-value<α , reject Ho              
Conclusion:   Reject Ho and conclude that cigarette consumption does affect the death rate from bladder cancer at α=0.05

d)

p-value =    0.0006              
decison :    p-value>α=0.01 ,do not reject Ho              
Conclusion: do not Reject Ho and conclude that cigarette consumption does not affect the death rate from bladder cancer at α=0.01

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