Question

We wish to estimate a demand function for commercial gas utility customers using a multiplicative form as follows:

QCOM = α*(PCOM)β1*(PELEC)ϒ1 (COM)ϒ2 (SALES) ϒ3(DEGREE)ϒ4

Estimate equation. What are the estimated coefficients for β1 (PCOM) and ϒ3 (SALES)? At what level (choose .01, .05 .10) is each coefficient significant or is it not significant (NS)?  

β1 = _____; Significance Level = _____

ϒ3 = _____; Significance Level = _____

You now have estimations of both the linear (1) and a multiplicative (2) specifications of commercial gas demand. As a manager and a decision maker, choose one specification that you prefer and support your choice.

Specification = choose linear (1) or multiplicative (2)

Justification = support your choice

QCOM PCOM PELEC COM SALES DEGREE 37033016 0.655072 627.6365 52739.5 2073.445 2515.956 16870863 1.613603 837.5992 30476.35 230

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Answer #1

First we take the log values to make the regression equation as additive one

QCOM = \alpha * (PCOM)\beta_1*(PELEC)\gamma_1*(COM)\gamma_2*(SALES)\gamma_3*(Degree)\gamma_4

log (QCOM) = \alpha + \beta_1log(PCOM) + \gamma_1log(PELEC) + \gamma_2log(COM)+\gamma_3log(SALES)+ \gamma_4log(Degree)

Changed dataset

LOG VALUES
QCOM PCOM PELEC COM SALES DEGREE
7.5685891 -0.18371 2.797708 4.722136 3.316693 3.400703
7.2271373 0.207797 2.923036 4.483963 3.362433 3.784225
7.0204613 0.19733 2.984252 4.474917 3.316693 3.746479
6.8743484 -0.11554 2.780886 4.164218 3.428511 3.777325
6.9860473 0.044174 2.378572 4.102488 3.391171 3.781004
6.254624 0.126587 2.984252 3.49156 3.316693 3.746479
7.0996343 -0.15274 2.780886 4.15766 3.428511 3.777325
7.3486321 -0.07491 2.769011 4.540584 3.400108 3.754036
6.7235786 0.179269 2.741959 3.934444 3.411517 3.617464
6.9844327 -0.08785 2.769011 4.296921 3.400108 3.754036
6.3972766 0.036907 2.87087 3.631878 3.396677 3.645535
7.0121101 -0.22041 2.78794 4.194107 3.298026 3.841899
7.0940498 -0.22766 2.681679 4.229934 3.281964 3.700234
7.0245774 -0.11283 2.770728 3.868067 3.306338 3.87379
6.9390492 -0.16887 2.570211 4.026116 3.262397 3.946289
6.7235786 -0.22296 2.609184 4.070723 3.352901 3.205683
6.9437626 -0.0335 2.984252 4.15766 3.316693 3.746479
7.320342 0.054179 2.984252 4.289021 3.316693 3.746479
6.8801001 -0.12028 2.780886 3.641394 3.428511 3.777325
7.3954325 -0.08092 2.695646 4.528909 3.387565 3.748961
7.0326945 0.116486 2.480723 4.35851 3.375181 3.734892
6.5675208 -0.1837 2.710164 3.782653 3.226291 3.899307
6.6327807 0.027425 2.984252 3.770167 3.316693 3.746479
7.9395934 -0.10531 2.70571 5.186997 3.399706 3.47705
7.7527791 -0.10871 2.780886 4.624308 3.428511 3.777325
7.7226549 -0.22946 2.665068 4.776663 3.345897 3.876105
6.7396638 0.000276 2.692068 4.097561 3.285774 3.502473
7.6504847 0.12507 2.939894 5.174459 3.374968 3.716452
6.89138 0.006197 2.984252 4.054231 3.316693 3.746479
6.5388998 -0.25044 2.695646 3.646809 3.387565 3.748961
7.3235231 -0.02904 2.378572 4.36681 3.391171 3.781004
6.8626112 -0.12882 2.770728 3.940407 3.306338 3.87379
6.5308017 -0.06761 2.770728 3.979818 3.306338 3.87379

Regression Analysis (Done in Excel > Data > Data Analysis)

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.939922488
R Square 0.883454284
Adjusted R Square 0.861871744
Standard Error 0.149930624
Observations 33
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 5 4.60078802 0.920157604 40.93374928 8.9595E-12
Residual 27 0.60693818 0.022479192
Total 32 5.2077262
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept -1.254435598 2.101449663 -0.596938209 0.555521706 -5.566254145 3.057382948
PCOM -0.51542486 0.216156372 -2.384499961 0.024389697 -0.9589411 -0.07190862
PELEC 0.020838886 0.177504672 0.117399085 0.907412784 -0.343370618 0.38504839
COM 0.909254931 0.067624696 13.44560463 1.76154E-13 0.770500515 1.048009347
SALES 0.922844079 0.521483821 1.769650451 0.088079934 -0.147152339 1.992840497
DEGREE 0.344010464 0.183221284 1.877568243 0.071283044 -0.031928557 0.719949485

\beta_1 = -0.5154

\gamma_3 = 0.9228

The P-value for \beta_1 = 0.024 , is the significant level

The P-value for \gamma_3 = 0.088 , is the significant level

Note: Linear Model is not part of the question. Question states only multiplicative model

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