We wish to estimate a demand function for commercial gas utility customers using a multiplicative form as follows:
QCOM = α*(PCOM)β1*(PELEC)ϒ1 (COM)ϒ2 (SALES) ϒ3(DEGREE)ϒ4
Estimate equation. What are the estimated coefficients for β1 (PCOM) and ϒ3 (SALES)? At what level (choose .01, .05 .10) is each coefficient significant or is it not significant (NS)?
β1 = _____; Significance Level = _____
ϒ3 = _____; Significance Level = _____
You now have estimations of both the linear (1) and a multiplicative (2) specifications of commercial gas demand. As a manager and a decision maker, choose one specification that you prefer and support your choice.
Specification = choose linear (1) or multiplicative (2)
Justification = support your choice
First we take the log values to make the regression equation as additive one
Changed dataset
LOG VALUES | |||||
QCOM | PCOM | PELEC | COM | SALES | DEGREE |
7.5685891 | -0.18371 | 2.797708 | 4.722136 | 3.316693 | 3.400703 |
7.2271373 | 0.207797 | 2.923036 | 4.483963 | 3.362433 | 3.784225 |
7.0204613 | 0.19733 | 2.984252 | 4.474917 | 3.316693 | 3.746479 |
6.8743484 | -0.11554 | 2.780886 | 4.164218 | 3.428511 | 3.777325 |
6.9860473 | 0.044174 | 2.378572 | 4.102488 | 3.391171 | 3.781004 |
6.254624 | 0.126587 | 2.984252 | 3.49156 | 3.316693 | 3.746479 |
7.0996343 | -0.15274 | 2.780886 | 4.15766 | 3.428511 | 3.777325 |
7.3486321 | -0.07491 | 2.769011 | 4.540584 | 3.400108 | 3.754036 |
6.7235786 | 0.179269 | 2.741959 | 3.934444 | 3.411517 | 3.617464 |
6.9844327 | -0.08785 | 2.769011 | 4.296921 | 3.400108 | 3.754036 |
6.3972766 | 0.036907 | 2.87087 | 3.631878 | 3.396677 | 3.645535 |
7.0121101 | -0.22041 | 2.78794 | 4.194107 | 3.298026 | 3.841899 |
7.0940498 | -0.22766 | 2.681679 | 4.229934 | 3.281964 | 3.700234 |
7.0245774 | -0.11283 | 2.770728 | 3.868067 | 3.306338 | 3.87379 |
6.9390492 | -0.16887 | 2.570211 | 4.026116 | 3.262397 | 3.946289 |
6.7235786 | -0.22296 | 2.609184 | 4.070723 | 3.352901 | 3.205683 |
6.9437626 | -0.0335 | 2.984252 | 4.15766 | 3.316693 | 3.746479 |
7.320342 | 0.054179 | 2.984252 | 4.289021 | 3.316693 | 3.746479 |
6.8801001 | -0.12028 | 2.780886 | 3.641394 | 3.428511 | 3.777325 |
7.3954325 | -0.08092 | 2.695646 | 4.528909 | 3.387565 | 3.748961 |
7.0326945 | 0.116486 | 2.480723 | 4.35851 | 3.375181 | 3.734892 |
6.5675208 | -0.1837 | 2.710164 | 3.782653 | 3.226291 | 3.899307 |
6.6327807 | 0.027425 | 2.984252 | 3.770167 | 3.316693 | 3.746479 |
7.9395934 | -0.10531 | 2.70571 | 5.186997 | 3.399706 | 3.47705 |
7.7527791 | -0.10871 | 2.780886 | 4.624308 | 3.428511 | 3.777325 |
7.7226549 | -0.22946 | 2.665068 | 4.776663 | 3.345897 | 3.876105 |
6.7396638 | 0.000276 | 2.692068 | 4.097561 | 3.285774 | 3.502473 |
7.6504847 | 0.12507 | 2.939894 | 5.174459 | 3.374968 | 3.716452 |
6.89138 | 0.006197 | 2.984252 | 4.054231 | 3.316693 | 3.746479 |
6.5388998 | -0.25044 | 2.695646 | 3.646809 | 3.387565 | 3.748961 |
7.3235231 | -0.02904 | 2.378572 | 4.36681 | 3.391171 | 3.781004 |
6.8626112 | -0.12882 | 2.770728 | 3.940407 | 3.306338 | 3.87379 |
6.5308017 | -0.06761 | 2.770728 | 3.979818 | 3.306338 | 3.87379 |
Regression Analysis (Done in Excel > Data > Data Analysis)
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||
Multiple R | 0.939922488 | |||||
R Square | 0.883454284 | |||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.861871744 | |||||
Standard Error | 0.149930624 | |||||
Observations | 33 | |||||
ANOVA | ||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||
Regression | 5 | 4.60078802 | 0.920157604 | 40.93374928 | 8.9595E-12 | |
Residual | 27 | 0.60693818 | 0.022479192 | |||
Total | 32 | 5.2077262 | ||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | |
Intercept | -1.254435598 | 2.101449663 | -0.596938209 | 0.555521706 | -5.566254145 | 3.057382948 |
PCOM | -0.51542486 | 0.216156372 | -2.384499961 | 0.024389697 | -0.9589411 | -0.07190862 |
PELEC | 0.020838886 | 0.177504672 | 0.117399085 | 0.907412784 | -0.343370618 | 0.38504839 |
COM | 0.909254931 | 0.067624696 | 13.44560463 | 1.76154E-13 | 0.770500515 | 1.048009347 |
SALES | 0.922844079 | 0.521483821 | 1.769650451 | 0.088079934 | -0.147152339 | 1.992840497 |
DEGREE | 0.344010464 | 0.183221284 | 1.877568243 | 0.071283044 | -0.031928557 | 0.719949485 |
The P-value for
, is the significant level
The P-value for
, is the significant level
Note: Linear Model is not part of the question. Question states only multiplicative model
We wish to estimate a demand function for commercial gas utility customers using a multiplicative form...
ln(QCOM) = ln α + β1*(PCOM) +
ϒ1*(PELEC) + ϒ2*ln(COM) +
ϒ3*(SALES) + ϒ4*(DEGREE).
QCOM = α*(PCOM)β1*(PELEC)ϒ1
(COM)ϒ2 (SALES) ϒ3(DEGREE)ϒ4
Where
QCOM = annual mcfs purchased by the gas utility’s commercial
customers,
PCOM = average annual commercial price per mcf of gas,
PELEC = annual average commercial electric price per kwh,
COM = number of commercial gas customers,
SALES = annual area retails sales per retail establishment,
DEGREE = annual heating degree days.
Estimate equation (1). What are the estimated...