Answer 38 =EVUII for decision alternative 1= 0.2*33+0.5*26+0.3*18=25
EVUII for decision alternative 2= 0.2*18+0.5*29+0.3*31=27.4
EVUII for decision alternative 3= 0.2*15+0.5*19+0.3*16=17.3
EVUII for decision alternative 4= 0.2*23+0.5*23+0.3*11=194
As EVUII is best for decision alternative 2 so the correct option is = Decision Alternative 2
Answer 4=
Decision alternative | Good | Bad |
DA1 | 5 | -3 |
DA2 | -5.6 | 8.1 |
DA3 | 9.2 | 0 |
DA4 | -5.3 | 5.2 |
Decision alternative | Good | Bad |
DA1 | 9.2-5 | 8.1-(-3) |
DA2 | 9.2-(-5.6) | 8.1-8.1 |
DA3 | 9.2-9.2 | 8.1-0 |
DA4 | 9.2-(-5.3) | 8.1-5.2 |
Regret Table= | ||
Decision alternative | Good | Bad |
DA1 | 4.2 | 11.1 |
DA2 | 14.8 | 0 |
DA3 | 0 | 8.1 |
DA4 | 14.5 | 2.9 |
The opportunity cost for DA2 (good)=14.8
So the correct answer= 14.8
Answer 5= Pay off DA2 (Good) =12
Question 38 (1 point) Using EVUII, which Decision Alternative would you chose? State Nature Good Poor...
QUESLUIT AU PRIL Consider the following payoff table: DA: Decision Alternative. State of Nature Decision Alternative Good Bad Probabilities 0.6 0.4 IDAI 5 -3 DA2 3 2 What is the expected value of perfect Information (EVPI)? (Please keep 1 decimal for your answer) Your Answer: Answer Question 17 (1 point) What will be the MAPE (Mean Absolute Percent Error) of the table below? (Round your answer to 2 decimal places, keep in decimal format) Three period moving average Period Sales($millions)...
Question 1 (1 point) The error in the forecast for Period 5 when Three period moving average forecast method is used:(Please round to 2 decimals for your answer which looks like 0.52) 3-Period MA Forecast Error Absolute Absolute Percent Error Error Squared Error X(Period) Y(Sales) 1 3 2 6.1 3 10.7 4 5.0 5 17 16 12 7 Your Answer: Answer Question 2 (1 point) ✓ Saved What will be the demand without seasonal impact if the actual demand is...
Question 17 (1 point) What will be the MAPE (Mean Absolute Percent Error) of the table below? (Round your answer to 2 decimal places, keep in decimal format) 6 Three period moving average Period sales(Smillions) Forecast Error Absolute Error Squared Error Abs Percent error 1 7 2 5 3 9 11 7.00 5 15.3 8.33 4 Your Answer: Answer Question 18 (1 point) Consider the following payoff table: DA: Decision Alternative. State of Nature Decision Alternative Good Bad Probabilities 0.4...
Question 19 (1 point) Using the EVUll method, which decision alternative would you choose? 9 State of Nature Poor Average Good 0.2 0.5 0.3 22 21 35 19 28 10 11 30 13 34 24 Decision Alternative Probabilities Decision Alternative 1 Decision Alternative 2 Decision Alternative 3 Decision Alternative 4 2 17 5 1) Decision Alternative 1 2) Decision Alternative 2 3) Decision Alternative 3 4) Decision Alternative 4
Time Left Question 25 11 point) Bases on the EVU method, which decision alternative would you choose? Average Nature Od O 24 + Decision Alternative Poba bocion Amet Decon Amatve 2 becon Alternate 3 Decision Amatved 31 2 20 27 1 10 1) Decision Alternative 1 2) Decision Alternative 2 3) Decision Alternative 3 4) Decision Alternative 4 6 Question 3 (1 point) What will be the seasonal index for Quarter 3 if sales in 4 quarters in order are:...
Answer Question 6 (1 point) The Absolute percent error for period 4 when Three period moving average forecast method is used:(Please round to 2 decimal places for your answer and keep in decimal format) 3-Period MA X(Period) y Sales) Forecast Error 1 8.0 2 7.0 3 2.8 4 13 5 15 6 12 Absolute Absolute Percent Squared Error Error Error + Your Answer: Answer rc Question 13 (1 point) Consider the following payoff table: DA: Decision Alternative. State of Nature...
Decision State-of-Nature 1 State-of-Nature 2 State-of-Nature 3 State-of-Nature 4 Alternative 1 10 0 5 25 Alternative 2 0 35 65 0 Alternative 3 5 20 50 35 Alternative 4 15 0 10 20 Construct the regret table using the table above. S1 S2 S3 S4 A1 A2 A3 A4
Problem 13-01 (Algorithmic) The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision Alternative 210 130 75 130 280 75 a. Choose the correct decision tree for this problem 210 210 di S1 S1 280 280 130 130 S2 130 130 d2 d2 75 75 di S3 75 (iv) 130 210 S2 210 di S1 130 75 S2 130 210 210 S1 di $1 130 75...
The following payoff table shows the profit for a decision problem with two states of nature and two decision alternatives: State of Nature Decision Alternative s1 s2 d1 10 1 d2 4 3 (a) Suppose P(s1)=0.2 and P(s2)=0.8. What is the best decision using the expected value approach? Round your answer in one decimal place. The best decision is decision alternative - Select your answer -d1d2Item 1 , with an expected value of . (b) Perform sensitivity analysis on the...