1.
Suppose you are interested in buying a new Lincoln Navigator or Town Car. You are standing on the sales lot looking at a model with different options. The list price is on the vehicle. As a salesperson approaches, you wonder what the dealer invoice price is for this model with its options. The following data are based on a random selection of these cars of different models and options. Let y be the dealer invoice (in thousands of dollars) for the given vehicle.
x | 31.0 | 34.3 | 36.1 | 44.0 | 47.8 |
y | 30.2 | 31.4 | 32.0 | 42.1 | 42.2 |
(a) Verify that Σx = 193.2, Σy = 177.9, Σx2 = 7661.54, Σy2 = 6475.25, Σxy = 7037.98, and r ≈ 0.970.
Σx | =193.2 |
Σy | 177.9 |
Σx2 | =7661.54 |
Σy2 | =6475.25 |
Σxy | =7037.98 |
r | =.97 |
(b) Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that
ρ > 0. (Use 2 decimal places.)
t | |
critical t |
Conclusion
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
(c) Verify that Se ≈ 1.7005, a ≈
3.3116, and b ≈ 0.8351.
Se | =1.7005 |
a | =3.3116 |
b | =.8351 |
(d) Find the predicted dealer invoice when the list price is
x = 33 (thousand dollars). (Use 2 decimal places.)
(e) Find a 99% confidence interval for y when x =
33 (thousand dollars). (Use 2 decimal place.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
(f) Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that
β > 0. (Use 2 decimal places.)
t | |
critical t |
Conclusion
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β > 0.
Reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that β > 0.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is insufficient evidence that β > 0.
Fail to reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β > 0.
(g) Find a 99% confidence interval for β and interpret its
meaning. (Use 3 decimal places.)
lower limit | |
upper limit |
2. Let x be the number of different research programs, and let y be the mean number of patents per program. As in any business, a company can spread itself too thin. For example, too many research programs might lead to a decline in overall research productivity. The following data are for a collection of pharmaceutical companies and their research programs.
x | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
y | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Complete parts (a) through (e), given Σx = 90, Σy = 8, Σx2 = 1420, Σy2 = 11.58, Σxy = 112.6, and
r ≈ −0.925.
(a) Draw a scatter diagram displaying the data.
I have the graph already completed.
(b) Verify the given sums Σx, Σy,
Σx2, Σy2, Σxy, and
the value of the sample correlation coefficient r. (Round
your value for r to three decimal places.)
Σx = | |
Σy = | |
Σx2 = | |
Σy2 = | |
Σxy = | |
r = |
(c) Find x, and y. Then find the equation of the
least-squares line = a + bx. (Round
your answers for x and y to two decimal places.
Round your answers for a and b to three decimal
places.)
x | = | |
y | = | |
= | + x |
(d) Find the value of the coefficient of determination
r2. What percentage of the variation in
y can be explained by the corresponding variation
in x and the least-squares line? What percentage is
unexplained? (Round your answer for r2
to three decimal places. Round your answers for the percentages to
one decimal place.)
r2 = | |
explained | % |
unexplained | % |
(e) Suppose a pharmaceutical company has 13 different research
programs. What does the least-squares equation forecast for
y = mean number of patents per program? (Round your answer
to two decimal places.)
patents per program
1)
n= | 5.0000 | |
X̅=ΣX/n | 38.64 | |
Y̅=ΣY/n | 35.58 | |
sx=(√(Σx2-(Σx)2/n)/(n-1))= | 7.01 | |
sy=(√(Σy2-(Σy)2/n)/(n-1))= | 6.0326 | |
Cov=sxy=(ΣXY-(ΣXΣY)/n)/(n-1)= | 40.9810 | |
r=Cov/(Sx*Sy)= | 0.9697 | |
slope= β̂1 =r*Sy/Sx= | 0.8351 | |
intercept= β̂0 ='y̅-β1x̅= | 3.3116 |
a)
ΣX = | 193.200 |
ΣY= | 177.900 |
ΣX2 = | 7661.540 |
ΣY2 = | 6475.250 |
ΣXY = | 7037.980 |
r = | 0.970 |
b)
t=r*(√(n-2)/(1-r2))= | 6.88 |
critical t = | 2.35 |
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that ρ > 0.
c)
Se =√(SSE/(n-2))= | 1.7005 |
a= | 3.3116 |
b= | 0.8351 |
d)
predicted val=3.312+33*0.835= | 30.87 |
e)
standard error of PI=s*√(1+1/n+(x0-x̅)2/Sxx)= | 1.9845 | |
for 99 % CI value of t = | 5.841 | |
margin of error E=t*std error = | 11.592 | |
lower confidence bound=xo-E = | 19.28 | |
Upper confidence bound=xo+E= | 42.46 |
f)
t=r*(√(n-2)/(1-r2))= | 6.88 |
critical t = | 2.35 |
Reject the null hypothesis, there is sufficient evidence that β > 0.
g)
std error of slope =se(β1) =s/√Sxx= | 0.1214 | |
for 90 % CI value of t = | 2.353 | |
margin of error E=t*std error = | 0.286 | |
lower confidence bound=xo-E = | 0.549 | |
Upper confidence bound=xo+E= | 1.121 |
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