E(small) =0.4*8+0.6*7 =7.4
E(medium) =0.4*14+0.6*5 =8.6
E(small) =0.4*20+0.6*(-9) =2.6
expected value without perfect information =max(7.4,8.6,2.6) =8.6
expected value with perfect information =0.4*20+0.6*7 =12.2
therefore expected value of perfect information =12.2-8.6 =3.6
D 5 pts Question 17 Below is a portion of a larger decision tree. Using only...
Question 18 3.13 pts Below is a portion of a decision tree. If the probability of s1 - 0.40, what is the value at node 5. S1 P(S1)100 D1 10 S2 P(S2) 250 No Research 1 PS1300 D2 S2 P(S2) 200 O 160 O 260 O 180 O 320 O 240 Question 18 3.13 pts Below is a portion of a decision tree. If the probability of s1 - 0.40, what is the value at node 5. S1 P(S1)100 D1...
State of Nature Decision Alternative Strong Demand S1 Weak Demand S2 Small complex, d1 7 5 Medium complex, d2 14 6 Large complex, d3 20 -8 Suppose PDC is optimistic about the potential for the luxury high-rise condominium complex and that this optimism leads to an initial subjective probability assessment of 0.8 that demand will be strong (S1) and a corresponding probability of 0.2 that demand will be weak (S2). Assume the decision alternative to build the large condominium complex...
Question 9 Use the following decision tree, but update the probabilities as follows: Probability of Small Demand = 20% Probability of Medium Demand = 14% Probability of Large Demand = remaining probability What is the expected value with perfect information (in millions)? $1.0" Do nothing Small demand (4) Expand Medium demand (.5) Large demand (1) Do nothing Expand Build Subcontract Do nothing Other use #1 Other use #2 $1.0 Small demand (4) Expand Medium demand (.5) $1.6 Large demand (1)...
Question 13 5 pts A payoff table is given below and the probabilities of S1, S2, and Sg are 0.20,0.50, and 0.30, respectively. Using the table below, what is the expected value without perfect information? States of Nature Decision 1 2 3 А 250 750 500 B 300 -250 1200 с 500 500 O 835 295 575 O 260 530
Question 5 5 pts Use the table below to determine the expected value of perfect information. The probabilities for the states of nature are s1-0.20, s2-0.30 and s3-0.50 State of Nature s2 10,000 -5,000 15,000 15,000 9,000 10,000 20,0005,000 10,000 11,0004,000 15,000 s1 S3 Decision d1 d2 d3 d4 10700 d4 11,000 -4,00015 O 10,700 O 5,400 O 3,800 3,500 O 14,200 Question 5 5 pts Use the table below to determine the expected value of perfect information. The probabilities...
please including the steps of each question Question B6 A soft drink company is going to develop a new flavor of soft drink so as to maximise its profit The new flavor is either mango (d) or pineapple (d). The sales of the new flavored soft drink depend on the demand of the market which is either low (si) or high (52). Estimated profits (in millions HKS) and probability assessments of low and high demands are as follows: Decision Alternative...
Previous Page Next Page Page 5 of 10 Question 5 (14 points) Jerry Smith is thinking about opening a bicycle shop in his hometown. Jerry can open a large store, a small store or no store. The profits will depend on the size of the store and whether the market is favourable or unfavourable. In addition, Jerry is thinking about having a market research study done at a cost of $5,000. The study could be favourable or unfavourable. After analysing...
D Question 5 1 pts Refer to the figure below. A scenario involving "attainable production and unemployment is! represented graphically by point 15 LA Chairs OHNWAUavo 10 Desks Question 6 1 pts Refer to the figure below. Point Z is currently Chairs ONWAUNO 10 Desks table without cha n ced resources watabi table withom olo with Question 7 1 pts Refer to the figure below. If the economy was operating at full employment and producing 4 desks, it could produce...
Question 5: (5 points) Using the PPC table below, calculate the opportunity cost of producing one more of one good in terms of the other (as asked below), between each point (between A & B; B & C; etc.). Don't Include the negative sign or the words 'Capital' or 'Consumer' Combination Consumer Capital A 0 653 B 160 640 C 320 599 D 480 523 E 640 392 F 800 0 1. What is the opportunity cost of one consumer...
use chart for 21-26 Question 21 5 pts Greene & Touchstone conducted a study to relate birth weight to the estriol levels from 24-hour urine specimens taken from pregnant women who are near term. The test can provide indirect evidence of an abnormally small fetus. The scatter plot of the data is shown below. We want to perform a statistical test to find linear relationship between birth weight and estriol levels. Linear regression result shows that y = 21.52 +...