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(1) Suppose that we observe data for Treasury Bill rates that are characterized by an AR(3) model, where u is iid, so that E(u,|y-1, y-2)0. We observe data monthly data from 1979 to November of 2018, so that T- 479 observations. Find the forecast for Decem mber of 2018. That is, find E(yT+1VT,Vr-1, yT-2, . . .). Your solution will depend on all the parameters and the observed data. Show your work. (Imenth cheed) (b) Find the forecast for January of 2019, E(yT+2WmyT-1,yT-2, ). Hint; you will use your answer from the first part. 2 moiths alead
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