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4 (10 marks). Consider a simple model of a time series ytas a function of its past (using lagged values):Yt = Bo + B1Yt-1 + €7 (1) Assume that yt is what we refer to as stationary - its distribution does not change over time, i.e

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Answer #1

Page No. Date o yt Bo + B, Yt +E+ By capture the effect of prendus value on a present value of y Elys] = 0 C giren) To show BPO No 800 this Yt in Marginal effect of Nt on expected value of Br n ot B2. Yt Bo + B, Yt + Et Yt-$-Bot B, Yt1 - 2 +9+ sincePage No. (Ytrg e-d) Bilyers -d) + Et put the value of (yeta-p) we get (y4t3-d). Bi (B? (ye-$) + B, Et.) (4413 - $) - Bilye-0)

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