Macys coats |
||
Possible Demand, D |
Probability |
Cumulative Probability |
150 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
250 |
0.25 |
0.5 |
350 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
450 |
0.2 |
1 |
supplier's production cost |
$ 20.00 |
per coat |
Macy's cost |
$ 50.00 |
per coat |
selling price |
$ 100.00 |
per coat |
salvage value |
$ - |
per coat |
a) For Macys: |
||
Underage Cost, Cu = selling price - Macys cost |
||
Cu |
$ 50.00 |
|
Overage Cost, Co = Macys cost-Salvage Value |
||
Co |
$ 50.00 |
|
b) Critical Ratio, C=Cu/(Cu+Co) |
||
C |
0.5 |
|
Now locate 0.5 in the cumulative probability table: |
||
the possible demand comes to 250 coats. |
||
hence, Macys should order 250 coats. |
||
c) if it’s a centralized firm: |
||
cost |
$ 20.00 |
per coat |
Selling price |
$ 100.00 |
per coat |
salvage value |
$ - |
per coat |
Cu |
$ 80.00 |
|
Co |
$ 20.00 |
|
C |
0.80 |
|
Possible demand |
350 |
|
no of coats the company should produce is 350 |
||
d) Macy's cost |
$ 10.00 |
per coat |
Cu = cost of under-stocking/profit lost = $100 - $50 to supplier - $10 paid upfront |
||
Cu = |
$ 40.00 |
|
Co=cost of overstocking = $100-$10 |
||
Co= |
$ 90.00 |
|
C |
0.31 |
|
0.31 lies between 150 coats and 250 coats (0.25 and 0.5), but is closer to 0.25. |
||
Hence, Macys should order 150 coats from the supplier. |
formulae used:
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