the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts (a) through (d). A research institute poll asked respondents if they felt vulnerable to identity theft. In the poll, n=952 and x= 512 who said "yes." Use a 99% confidence level.
a.) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p.
b.) Identify the value of the margin of error E.
c.) Construct the confidence interval.
d.) Write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval. Choose the correct answer below.
A. 99% of sample proportions will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
B.There is a 99% chance that the true value of the population proportion will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
C.One has 99% confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.
D.One has 99% confidence that the sample proportion is equal to the population proportion.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 952
x = 512
(a)
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 512 / 952 = 0.538
1 - = 1 - 0.538 = 0.462
At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.576
(b)
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576 * (((0.538 * 0.462) / 952)
= 0.042
(c)
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.538 - 0.042 < p < 0.538 + 0.042
0.496 < p < 0.580
(d)
C.One has 99% confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.
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