Value at Risk (VaR) is used to describe the worst-case scenario over some time horizon with...
Value at Risk (VaR) is used to describe the worst-case scenario over some time horizon with a specific probability. Suppose that an investment on a stock is expected to grow during the year by 10% with SD 35%. Assume a normal model for the change in value. What is the VaR for an investment of $500,000 at 5%?
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Value at Risk (VaR) is used to describe the worst-case scenario
over some time horizon with...
In finance, the acronym VaR does not stand for variance; it means “value at risk.” Imagine...
In finance, the acronym VaR does not stand for variance; it means “value at risk.” Imagine that you manage the $1 million portfolio of a wealthy investor. The portfolio is expected to average 10% growth over the next year with standard deviation 30%. Let’s convey the risk of this investment using the VaR that excludes the worst 5% of the scenarios. In other words, there is a 5% chance of losing a specific sum of money. What is this sum?...
The Lake Placid Town Council decided to build a new community center to be used for...
The Lake Placid Town Council decided to build a new community center to be used for conventions, concerts, and other public events, but considerable controversy surrounds the appropriate size. Many influential citizens want a large center that would be a showcase for the area. But the mayor feels that if demand does not support such a center, the community will lose a large amount of money. To provide structure for the decision process, the council narrowed the building alternatives to...
The Lake Placid Town Council decided to build a new community center to be used for...
The Lake Placid Town Council decided to build a new community
center to be used for conventions, concerts, and other public
events, but considerable controversy surrounds the appropriate
size. Many influential citizens want a large center that would be a
showcase for the area. But the mayor feels that if demand does not
support such a center, the community will lose a large amount of
money. To provide structure for the decision process, the coun- cil
narrowed the building alternatives...
4. Sensitivity and scenario analysis Different techniques for analyzing project risk require different input variables...
4. Sensitivity and scenario analysis Different techniques for analyzing project risk require different input variables and assumptions. Suppose you are using the scenario analysis technique to evaluate project risk. You would change in the model to evaluate the effect of the input factors on the expected value. Tanya is a risk analyst. She is conducting a sensitivity analysis to evaluate the riskiness of a new project that her company is considering investing in. Her risk analysis report includes the sensitivity...
1. Statistical measures of standalone risk Aa Aa Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution...
1. Statistical measures of standalone risk Aa Aa Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Juan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company...
Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical...
Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset’s expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: James owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM) and...
2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a...
2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Tyler owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM)...
Aa Aa 1. Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution...
Aa Aa 1. Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence Consider the following case: Ethan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining...
Ch 08: Assignment - Risk and Rates of Return Remember, the expected value of a probability...
Ch 08: Assignment - Risk and Rates of Return Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight...
2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a...
2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Celestial Crane Cosmetics Company (CCC)...
The Lake Placid Town Council decided to build a new community
center to be used for conventions, concerts, and other public
events, but considerable controversy surrounds the appropriate
size. Many influential citizens want a large center that would be a
showcase for the area. But the mayor feels that if demand does not
support such a center, the community will lose a large amount of
money. To provide structure for the decision process, the coun- cil
narrowed the building alternatives...
4. Sensitivity and scenario analysis Different techniques for analyzing project risk require different input variables and assumptions. Suppose you are using the scenario analysis technique to evaluate project risk. You would change in the model to evaluate the effect of the input factors on the expected value. Tanya is a risk analyst. She is conducting a sensitivity analysis to evaluate the riskiness of a new project that her company is considering investing in. Her risk analysis report includes the sensitivity...
1. Statistical measures of standalone risk Aa Aa Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Juan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight Company...
2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: Tyler owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining Company (BLM)...
Aa Aa 1. Statistical measures of standalone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence Consider the following case: Ethan owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Blue Llama Mining...
Ch 08: Assignment - Risk and Rates of Return Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Falcon Freight...
2. Statistical measures of stand-alone risk Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence. Consider the following case: David owns a two-stock portfolio that invests in Celestial Crane Cosmetics Company (CCC)...
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