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The average time between failures of a laser machine is exponentially distributed with a mean of...

The average time between failures of a laser machine is exponentially distributed with a mean of 40,000 hours.

a) What is the expected time until 4th failure?

b) What is the probability that the time to the 5th failure is greater than 80,000 hours?

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Answer #1

a)

expected time until 4th failure =4*40000=160000 Hours

b)

expected number of failures in 80,000 hours =80000/40000 =2

therefore probability that the time to the 5th failure is greater than 80,000 hours =P(at most 4 failures in 80,000 hours)

=P(X<=4)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)=e-2*20/0!+e-2*21/1!+e-2*22/2!+e-2*23/3!+e-2*24/4!=0.947347

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