Question

The values of Alabama building contracts (in $ millions) for a 12‐month period follow: 240 350...

The values of Alabama building contracts (in $ millions) for a 12‐month period follow: 240 350 230 260 280 320 220 310 240 310 240 230
a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data? (4 marks)
b. Compare the three‐month moving average approach with the exponential smoothing forecast using α=0.4. Which approach provides more accurate forecasts based on MSE? (6 marks)
c. What is the forecast for the next month? (3 marks)
d. Explain how you would find the optimum level of α for this data. (6 marks)
Please answer this question at α=0.4. I have submission deadline. Also if possible please post the solution typed and in understanding font and size. Please.

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